Betting odds, formerly even, now favor Trump impeachment

[KingOrfeo]

MarketWatch:

The chances have increased, according to British bookies, that President Donald Trump will leave the White House before his four-year term is over.

The bookmakers have seen a stream of bets that Trump will depart early after a report Tuesday that he asked the since-fired FBI director James Comey to shut down a probe into links between his inner circle and Russia.

“Overnight we’ve seen more than [£5,000] bet on Trump to leave before the end of his first term, and we expect to see a lot more bet today, with his odds now shortening from evens into 5/6,” Katie Baylis, spokeswoman at Betfair PPB, +0.95% , said in a note Wednesday morning. That implies a 55% probability that the president will exit before his term ends.

“And many punters think it won’t be too long before he departs, with the odds of him leaving this year now into 12/5 from 11/2 — a 27% chance [up] from 16% before the latest allegations,” Baylis added.

 

[KingOrfeo]

Well, to be fair, the odds now favor impeachment and/or resignation.

Trump obviously is not having a good time. Pushing him out voluntarily might not be all that difficult. OTOH, he might see that as losing, which is to him unthinkable. It has to be framed in a way that allows him to, at least in his own mind, save face.

 

[Hard_Rom]

Resignation possibly as I don't think he has the emotional maturity for the job. Impeachment not very likely. Those who do support Trump are just as rabid as before he got elected.

 

[KingOrfeo]

Resignation possibly as I don't think he has the emotional maturity for the job. Impeachment not very likely. Those who do support Trump are just as rabid as before he got elected.

They don't get to vote on impeachment.

 

[Hard_Rom]

They don't get to vote on impeachment.

No, but they vote for those who would have to vote for impeachment. You've heard from the Trumpistas here. Do you think that anything Trump does is not looked at as if he shit gold bricks?

All well and good to plot the downfall of the Fourth Reich but be realistic. There are SRP forums for fantasy stuff.

 

[KingOrfeo]

No, but they vote for those who would have to vote for impeachment. You've heard from the Trumpistas here. Do you think that anything Trump does is not looked at as if he shit gold bricks?

All well and good to plot the downfall of the Fourth Reich but be realistic. There are SRP forums for fantasy stuff.

Like I keep saying: If Trump is impeached, what are those impotent ignorant louts going to do about it? Vote against the Pubs in the midterms? That would be cutting off their noses, wouldn't it? They have already exhausted the potential of primarying "moderate" Pubs from the right; the Freedom Caucus is not growing any larger and won't. They can vote Dem or stay home. Either works for me.