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All four major U.S. equity benchmarks — the S&P 500 Index, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Nasdaq Composite Index and the Russell 2000 Index — climbed together to record peaks this week. The surge, which was helped by rallies in commodities, has taken place simultaneously for the first time since 1999.
It's all feeling a lot like the last time the Clintons were having to step away from power — oil is again struggling to climb from multi-year lows as OPEC seeks to corral crude producers inside and outside the organization to curb supply, the yen is again (for now) the best-performing G-10 currency for the year.
Not only that, the greenback recorded 10 days of gains that were its longest winning streak against the euro since the eurozone currency was first introduced back in 1999. And the dollar's rally is being driven by the resuscitation of the bond vigilantes — the ones Bill Clinton adviser James Carville said could intimidate everybody — as surging Treasury yields threaten to cloud the outlook for ambitious presidential spending plans.
"Traditional correlations have broken down," said Devesh. "Markets are operating under the assumption that fiscal spending in the U.S. is set to increase and these reflationary and supportive drivers for U.S. growth are sending U.S. assets — its currency, rates and equities — higher."
The word bubble, remember the word bubble - you heard it here, first. I mean, I don't want to sound rude, but I hope if it explodes it's going to be now rather than two months into another administration.
Donald Trump, Cedar Rapids, December 2015
The derivatives genie is now well out of the bottle, and these instruments will almost certainly multiply in variety and number until some event makes their toxicity clear. Central banks and governments have so far found no effective way to control, or even monitor, the risks posed by these contracts. In my view, derivatives are financial weapons of mass destruction, carrying dangers that , while now latent, are potentially lethal.
Warren Buffet
This is a bit misleading. What is the PER CAPITA wealth per country? I found this Wikipedia List of countries by wealth per adult. I sorted it on mean (average) wealth in US$bucks. Okay, it's not true per capita, but it's close.
567122 Switzerland
400811 New Zealand
364896 Australia
352996 United States
321352 Norway
320368 United Kingdom
311353 Sweden
269408 Singapore
262070 France
259406 Belgium
251634 Denmark
248276 Canada
203577 Italy
196092 Austria
194701 Taiwan
194650 Ireland
190230 Japan
182782 Netherlands
177984 Germany
155982 Israel
149917 Finland
111643 Spain
091108 South Korea
081342 Greece
073843 Portugal
041982 Chile
041710 Czech Republic
025949 Mexico
024370 Poland
022513 China
021402 South Africa
020477 Colombia
017597 Brazil
011726 Russia
009031 Indonesia
007330 Thailand
004352 India
I'm reminded of a double truism: USAnians are only rich because they charge each other so much. The Swiss are rich because they charge everybody else too much.
https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/iuYYynWxz_Vs/v0/740x-1.png
https://assets.bwbx.io/images/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/i8CE3xuVzcI8/v0/740x-1.png
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...t-trump-is-bringing-the-1990s-back-to-markets
Note:
- the US debt is currently around $19 trillion, or roughly 30% of the world's $60+ trillion cumulative debt.
- bottom value of the the world derivative market is $630 trillion; top value is $1.2 quadrillion.
Yeah: "quadrillion" is now in common usage play, and its exponential increase - as far as the derivatives market is concerned - is already well underway.
Like to see a relative visualization of the world's money & markets as they stand today, to get at least some financial sense of how deep the hole we've spent our way into is? Seriously; take a look - it's cool:
http://money.visualcapitalist.com/all-of-the-worlds-money-and-markets-in-one-visualization/
Don't know what "derivatives" are?
A derivative is simply a speculative contract, a bet placed on stocks, mortgages, interest rates, the price of commodities like gold, silver, coffee and oil, or the possibility of a company or even a nation to default. Players on the derivatives market gamble maybe even at least a quadrillion today on the future prices of the assets to which a derivative is attached. In essence, the derivatives market is - by exponentially far - the world's largest casino.
The derivatives market is where banks and other financial institutions place their bets on every aspect of the world economy: currently, there is virtually nothing of economic worth that doesn't have some sort of derivative attached to it. Yet, this casino of the bigger the bet the bigger the profit is mostly played with so much of the American taxpayers' $$ for the rest of the entirety of their lives and of all their foreseeable descendants lives, too.
Tell me: how much would you be willing to gamble if none of it was yours to lose?
Remember CDOs? Collateralized Debt Obligations were derivative contracts attached to the booming housing market mortgages in the early 2000s, which bore what we infamously know today as the subprime mortgage. The "too big to fail" banks were the biggest creators, traders, and holders of CDOs, and when many folks began defaulting on mortgages they never should have been given in the first place, the whole housing bubbling burst, decimating the housing market and leaving the "tbtf" banks with virtually useless assets but holding the vastly overvalued notes on them anyway.
Lehman Brothers had to file for bankruptcy. All the so-called "tbtf" banks were bailed out by the American taxpayer even though the general market was hit so hard that Americans lost more than 25% of their collective net worth; total household wealth dropped by $14 trillion. The entire world dived into a deep recession. This all happened 2 weeks before the change of presidents in the 2008 election.
Which is maybe a coincidence since the biggest economic dive before that was the "tech bubble" bursting (aka the "NASDAQ bubble") right before the change of presidents in the 2000 election.
The too big to fail banks could not have survived in 2008 if not for government dictating that the American taxpayer suffer immensely for them to do so (to the tune of $34 trillion); that tyrannical hit is precisely why middle America is still economically reeling. Yet, those big banks have grown immensely rich off of middle America's economic pain.
Today's so-called big 4 banks, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo, now hold over $7 trillion in actual assets - 160% more than the rest of the top 50 banks in America combined. Many of those big 4 have experienced asset growth approaching 40% since they sent the entire world reeling into recession in 2008.
So what have the big 4 been doing since 2008 to increase their wealth so much? First, take a look at how big the derivatives market is again:
http://money.visualcapitalist.com/all-of-the-worlds-money-and-markets-in-one-visualization/
Citigroup's assets are around $2 trillion, yet their total exposure to derivatives is around $55 trillion and growing.
JPMorgan Chase's assets are around $2.5 trillion, yet their total exposure to derivatives is around $51 trillion and growing.
Goldman Sachs assets are around $881 billion, yet their total exposure to derivatives is around $51 trillion and growing.
Bank of America's assets are around $2.1 trillion, yet their total exposure to derivatives is around $45 trillion and growing.
(each one of those figures is probably retarded by a factor of 1.5 years - there is no doubt all their exposures to derivatives are much greater currently).
The infamous "too big to fail banks" are 40% larger today than when they went bust in 2008. Since 2006, America's $$ supply has grown 400% - all just printed out of thin air. At one point, the Fed was purchasing 70% of bonds issued by the US Treasury with that thin air.
They say 49% of all Americans today receive $$ from at least 1 government agency every month; that 50% of all born in America today will be on foodstamps sometime in their lives, and that 52% of all employed Americans today earn < $30,000 annually.
The cost of the tech bubble of 2000 to Americans is put by some at $7 trillion. The cost of the housing bubble of 2008 to Americans is put by some at $14 trillion (that's not including the estimated $20 trillion the Troubled Asset Relief Program, TARP, cost).
When the derivative bubble bursts, it's going to cost the world economy anywhere from $630 trillion to $1.2 quadrillion from the outset. The entire American financial sector, including savings, deposits, retirement funds, pension funds will collapse when the derivative bubble pops - and so will the entire world economy. Think Greece, but this time with nothing existing to bail The. Entire. World. out.
A number of President-elect Donlad J. Trump's businesses have filed for bankruptcy, coincidently almost all of them casino properties (Trump has never filed for personal bankruptcy).
The last two changes of presidencies have knocked America to its economic knees. Maybe fate is being as kind as it can be by putting someone into the Oval Office who at least has an ounce of practical business/financial experience to help steer America amid the worldwide financial devastation which many see lying straight ahead.
Every bubble needs at least one pin to pop it. Besides the sharing of changes in the presidency, the tech and housing bubbles also experienced the rise in interest rates. In Dec 2008, the rate fell to 0%, where it stayed for the next 7 years until Fed chair Yellen raised it in Dec 2015; a year later, she's now flashing that she's ready to raise it more.
What happens when you raise rates paid by a currency whose value is nothing but a bubble itself, too?
If all US wealth was redistributed to it's citizens incomes would go from 35K to 60K and each person would be worth 250K.
If all US wealth was redistributed to it's citizens incomes would go from 35K to 60K and each person would be worth 250K.
I'm working hard to increase the number of millionaires. As of late, my efforts are not statistically significant, however.
The revision of history has Clinton enjoying all of the benefits of the dot.com bubble and none of the responsibility. The same thing is going to happen when Obama's history is written by the academics who write such nonsense.
If all US wealth was redistributed to it's citizens incomes would go from 35K to 60K and each person would be worth 250K.