I'm laying 50-50 odds

[JohnnySavage]

If you're going to piss away your money, do it in the drawing following a big payout; this way you better your odds of winning. Free money is free money, but no one respects free.

That's some math degree you got there.

The odds are exactly the same, even if you are the only one playing.


FFS

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Decreases the odds of sharing your win.

 

[putzpotus]

the way I look at it

its always 50-50

you either win or dont win

 

[putzpotus]

and if you DONT win once,

change your name to

The Other Guy

its always The Other Guy that wins

 

[toubab]

Odds say investing $2 in a growth vehicle is going to buy you a couple shares of a stock that isn't likely to ever reach the $2 you invested.

It isn't a tax, it's buying an entertainment for $2 instead of going to see the latest Lucas abortion of a space drama.

Idiots are the ones who spend $50, $100 or more thinking they've changed their odds of winning.

Actually, buying 25 or 50 times as many tickets does change the odds of winning. I'm sure you know that, but are also smart enough to know there's not really that much difference between one chance in 292,000,000 and 25 or 50 chances in 292,000,000. Your chances of getting hit by lightning while being eaten by a shark are far better in any case.

 

[Sean Renaud]

I'm sure they aren't.

 

[toubab]

If you're going to piss away your money, do it in the drawing following a big payout; this way you better your odds of winning. Free money is free money, but no one respects free.

How do you figure?

 

[toubab]

If you've got the cash - go buy 176,000,000 different tickets and hope nobody else hits along with you.

that's investing with a certain return of unknown quantity - same as buying stock.

I think it would take 292,000,000 different tickets to ensure a win.

 

[toubab]

I'm sure they aren't.

That wasn't meant to be taken literally, but lightning strikes occur 8,000,000 times or so per day, as I recall. I've read the chance of an average inhabitant of the planet being hit by a lightning strike in his or her lifetime is about one in 3,000. Shark attacks are more rare, but not nearly as rare as winning a billion dollars in the lottery, unfortunately.

 

[Sean Renaud]

I guess if you mean a billion dollars and not the lottery. I mean someone wins (I mean the big prize) on average a few times a year right?

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

How do you figure?

Three-way split.

The more bettors in the pool, the greater the chance that more than one person will have the winning number. The probabilities on any one ticket winning are fixed, the odds of one person winning are changed by how many tickets they buy and how many people that they are betting against.

This morning, I see nothing but losers and I was pretty confident in the odds of that occurring.

99.999999999...%

 

[Ishmael]

Can you point to the text in the speech where that happened?

Edited to add:

I did find this on the Fox News website:

He decried politicians who “insult Muslims” or target people “because of race or religion,” an implicit reference to some of the comments made on the Republican campaign trail including from Donald Trump.

(emphasis added)

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/201...nomic-record-in-state-union.html?intcmp=hpbt2


Is that where "Obama effectively called anyone concerned about the Muslim 'refugee' program a "racist."?

You answered your own challenge, didn't ya?

Ishmael

 

[Disgustipated]

You answered your own challenge, didn't ya?

Ishmael

Reading Ish Fundamental.

My goodness, you're not even trying anymore.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Interesting election: http://townhall.com/columnists/annc...ll-ruth-bader-ginsburg-now-n2104198/page/full

 

[Pookie]

You answered your own challenge, didn't ya?

Ishmael

No, I didn't.

That was a pathetic dodge attempt of my question. You made shit up and I called you on it.

 

[toubab]

I guess if you mean a billion dollars and not the lottery. I mean someone wins (I mean the big prize) on average a few times a year right?

The chance of winning that particular lottery with one ticket is one in 292,000,000, no matter how much it pays. I've done a lot of gambling in my life, and none of it has been on that lottery, or any other.

 

[Sean]

I think it would take 292,000,000 different tickets to ensure a win.

Aaaaaaaaaaaarrrrrrggggghhhh!

 

[toubab]

Three-way split.

The more bettors in the pool, the greater the chance that more than one person will have the winning number. The probabilities on any one ticket winning are fixed, the odds of one person winning are changed by how many tickets they buy and how many people that they are betting against.

This morning, I see nothing but losers and I was pretty confident in the odds of that occurring.

99.999999999...%

It's better to split a billion dollars two or three ways than to win all of a mere $50,000,000 or less.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

It's better to split a billion dollars two or three ways than to win all of a mere $50,000,000 or less.

It's better to save and invest because 99.9999999....% of us will never, ever win a lotto.

 

[toubab]

It's better to save and invest because 99.9999999....% of us will never, ever win a lotto.

That's what I told my wife, but she bought a lottery ticket anyway. I didn't ask how many.

 

[Sean Renaud]

The chance of winning that particular lottery with one ticket is one in 292,000,000, no matter how much it pays. I've done a lot of gambling in my life, and none of it has been on that lottery, or any other.

Oh I know that, I was simply trying to figure out if you really had a better chance of getting hit by lightning (I reckon you do) or eaten by a shark (I reckon you don't) than winning the lottery. As a southern Californian who doesn't go to the beach or play the lotto if any of those things happen to me it's a sign that God hates me but still averaged out the US averages one or two shark fatalities a year, we've got to have double or tripple that in lotto winners, specially if states factor in.

Merely curious.

 

[VaticanAssassin]

Obama effectively called anyone concerned about the Muslim 'refugee' program a "racist."

Ishmael

Can you point to the text in the speech where that happened?

I did find this on the Fox News website:

He decried politicians who “insult Muslims” or target people “because of race or religion,” an implicit reference to some of the comments made on the Republican campaign trail including from Donald Trump.

(emphasis added)

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/201...nomic-record-in-state-union.html?intcmp=hpbt2


Is that where "Obama effectively called anyone concerned about the Muslim 'refugee' program a "racist."?

No, I didn't.

That was a pathetic dodge attempt of my question. You made shit up and I called you on it.

EFFECTIVELY: in an indirect way

From the speech:
"Others will just fall victim to ethnic conflict, or famine, feeding the next wave of refugees. The world will look to us to help solve these problems, and our answer needs to be more than tough talk or calls to carpet-bomb civilians. That may work as a TV sound bite, but it doesn’t pass muster on the world stage."

"When politicians insult Muslims, whether abroad or our fellow citizens, when a mosque is vandalized, or a kid is called names, that doesn’t make us safer. That’s not telling it like it is. It’s just wrong"



Yep...someone sure is making shit up here. Guess who?

 

[RobDownSouth]

Yep...someone sure is making shit up here. Guess who?

Your daddy. He's not man enough to take responsibility for his words, he shucks 'n jives and hides behind people like you who make excuses for him.

 

[Pookie]

EFFECTIVELY: in an indirect way

From the speech:
"Others will just fall victim to ethnic conflict, or famine, feeding the next wave of refugees. The world will look to us to help solve these problems, and our answer needs to be more than tough talk or calls to carpet-bomb civilians. That may work as a TV sound bite, but it doesn’t pass muster on the world stage."

"When politicians insult Muslims, whether abroad or our fellow citizens, when a mosque is vandalized, or a kid is called names, that doesn’t make us safer. That’s not telling it like it is. It’s just wrong"



Yep...someone sure is making shit up here. Guess who?

Yeah, your dad. There is nothing in the quotes from the speech you posted where (even indirectly) Obama effectively called anyone concerned about the Muslim 'refugee' program a "racist".

Nothing.

What I do see is you and your dad ineffectively trying to put words in Obama's mouth. You guys don't even understand the words he said if you're claiming "racist" is being implied. If Ish had said "bigot" or "religious bigot", I would buy that. But racist? What race? Do you guys actually see Muslims as a race?

Edited to add:

Holdup. Ish said in the original post - It's beside the point that Islam isn't a "race"

So, yeah, Ish was just totally making shit up.

 

[Sean Renaud]

While we should really replace racist with bigot now Muslim is for all intents and purposes a 'race' at this particular junction. But the word is being used incorrectly.