Ancillary takeaway from the election...

[4est_4est_Gump]

The polls. I know the 'right-wing' was blasted in 2012 for not believing the infallible Nate Silver, but I was watching my home state KANSAS and the consistent Orman lead and the writing off of Pat Roberts by the likes of the National media and RCP. But it was a blow-out.

Maybe it is just the mid-term models that do not work so well...

I dunno. It is though, in hindsight, a validation of the proclivity not to believe public polling as much.

 

[unregistered]

 

[Saint Peter]

We are fucked.

Time to move to an island.

Watch out for falling skies.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

There is a noted effect, the Bradley Effect, where people tend to tell a pollster what they think they should say in order not to look like they are out of the mainstream of social consensus.

I don't know the answer, maybe Zandi designed the midterm model...

 

[unregistered]

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Let's not forget that McConnell was supposed to lose and yet won by 16 points.

Not in the final days of polling when the undecideds begin to break one way or the other.

Some have posited that in the early polls, some of the polling organizations might actually be trying to massage the election towards their own polity...

Who knows? They say it's a 'settled science.'

 

[Saint Peter]

Damn homos and pot smokers and women's rights supporters.




Liberal civil laws fucking up a perfectly good election.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Pete, the playground is over at the Personals Forum.

 

[unregistered]

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Another takeaway is how the Walker victory emptied 80 million out of the teacher's union coffers. Also the McConnell victory emptied a lot of liberal wallets in Hollywood as well.

Stimulating the local economies...





Is it okay to talk now about the recent Iowa futures and the optimism of the stock market?

 

[unregistered]

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

There may be some shivering among the pork bellies in DC.

Joni's coming to town... Tuck and run boys! Tuck and run!

 

[unregistered]

 

[unregistered]

 

[Que]

There is a noted effect, the Bradley Effect, where people tend to tell a pollster what they think they should say in order not to look like they are out of the mainstream of social consensus.

I don't know the answer, maybe Zandi designed the midterm model...

The bandwagon method of propaganda in advertising is used so much because it is highly effective. Humans are mammals and as are a lot of mammals, humans are herd animals socially.

Another takeaway is how the Walker victory emptied 80 million out of the teacher's union coffers. Also the McConnell victory emptied a lot of liberal wallets in Hollywood as well.

I hear Bloomberg blew 50 million on fruitless gun control campaigns. Couldn't happened to a nicer guy.

I caught the implications of that too. Love to see Dem's blow money. Read a scathing piece about how the blow-out was worse because Obama wouldn't fund-raise for the Dem's PACs. Only money HE controls, and refused to let go of many million that the President as head of DNC usually does.

On the one hand, good that they had less cash for their messaging, bad that they didn't blow that too.

Joni's coming to town... Tuck and run boys! Tuck and run!

Squeeealll!!!!

What, only 16 Democrat Governors left? Times are hard for Dems and their failed ideas.

Do you have a count on States where Republicans control the Legislature entirely as well?

Looking feasible for an Article V convention these days. Just need 34 states. Of course you need 38 to get anything done.

California, NY, Florida, Ohio, Michigan, and Illinois only get one vote each.