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The Hermit Kingdom

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4est_4est_Gump

Run Forrest! RUN!
Joined
Sep 19, 2011
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I've been seeing several articles like this one pop up. It may only be smoke, but...

According to a Telegraph report by Julian Ryall, China has leaked information about contingency plans, should the North Korean regime currently led by Kim Jong Un “collapse” and civil war ensue.

Ryall writes:

Documents drawn up by planners from China’s People’s Liberation Army that were leaked to Japanese media include proposals for detaining key North Korean leaders and the creation of refugee camps on the Chinese side of the frontier in the event of an outbreak of civil unrest in the secretive state. The report calls for stepping up monitoring of China’s 879-mile border with North Korea. [...] According to Kyodo News, the Chinese report says key North Korean leaders should be detained in special camps where they can be monitored, but also prevented from directing further military operation or taking part in actions that could be damaging to China’s national interest.
Click to expand...
Knowing China’s tendency to word matters in veiled, if not sometimes inscrutably oblique diplomatic language, it may be that China is actively planning a coup against Kim Jong Un, or at least sensing one may be necessary. The deranged Kim, who is so obsessed with himself that there are even reports that he wants every N. Korean male to have the same haircut as his, and who is accused of having his uncle devoured by dogs, may be rocketing out of control.

Chinese leadership, shrewd and savvy, surely does not think North Korea will collapse on its own, plunging into civil war while the humanitarian Chinese kindly prepare for the influx of millions of refugees. On the contrary, North Korean refugees infiltrating China are routinely sent back to face the wrath of Kim Jong Un’s regime. So it can be fairly assumed the Chinese are not moved by tender regard for possible influx of homeless North Koreans.

Nor can it be assumed that Chinese leadership is interested in the protection of North Korea’s military leadership, which it supposedly and humanely wishes to detain in “special camps” to prevent them from “directing further military actions.” Detaining another country’s military leaders for any reason sounds suspiciously like a coup. Such an action, aided and abetted by China, may be imminent. It can be taken pretty much for granted that Kim Jong Un himself would be the first official needing detaining -- for his own protection, of course.

Nor can we disregard the possibility that North Korean leadership has made plans to attack South Korea -- plans China has discovered. Ever since the end of the Korean War and the establishment in 1953 of the boundaries between North and South Korea at the 38th parallel, North Korea has pined for and dreamed of the day it will forcibly unite the Korean peninsula and drive out what it sees as pernicious Western influence. An envious longing for the riches and resources of South Korea is doubtless among the factors that has driven North Korea’s aggressive stance toward its southern neighbor.

Nor is the brutal occupation of Korea by the Japanese (1910-1945), who tried to eradicate Korean heritage -- including the Korean language and culture -- forgotten by the North Koreans in particular. The present composition of North Korean leadership has a vested interest in whipping up paranoia and thirst for revenge against Japan. North Korea has provocatively fired rockets toward Japan. This is to say nothing of the country’s continual threats to start a nuclear war against its enemies, including South Korea.

Something very significantly troubling has happened to cause China to warn the world about impending collapse and chaos in North Korea and to inform the world of China’s contingency plans. Whatever form those plans ultimately take, China is letting the rest of the world know matters are at a breaking point with N. Korea, as the country is increasingly an embarrassment to China as well as a threat to Chinese control.

North Korea’s leaders, as well as the entire global community, have been put on notice that China is fed up.
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Fay Voshell, American Thinker
 
I have long contended that it would be in China's best long term interest to aid and abet in the dismantling of N. Korea and allow the S. Korean's to re-unify.

The immediate gain is that it removes an embarrassing thorn from China's diplomatic policy. China has been inextricably tied to the N. Korean regime ever since the Korean war.

By letting the S. Koreans re-unify the 'Dark Hole of the Orient', they escape any of the financial burdens that would be associated with the rebuilding of the area and they would earn the grudging respect/debt of the S. Korean regime that has long desired to re-unify. Long term this plays well for them in that the S. Koreans have no real love lost for the Japanese and the Japanese are the real competitive power brokers of the region.

Further it all but eliminates the excuse that the US has for enhanced military presence in the peninsula. A major step in reducing US dominance in the region, which coincides with China's long term goals as well.

The obstacle for China acting on those interests has always been about 'losing face' by tacitly betraying an ally. (A problem the US doesn't seem to have a problem with these days.) An internally fomented revolution with China acting as the 'humanitarian' savior would help them avoid the stigma.

Ishmael
 
Grampa Syphillish said:
I have long contended that it would be in China's best long term interest to aid and abet in the dismantling of N. Korea and allow the S. Korean's to re-unify.

The immediate gain is that it removes an embarrassing thorn from China's diplomatic policy. China has been inextricably tied to the N. Korean regime ever since the Korean war.

By letting the S. Koreans re-unify the 'Dark Hole of the Orient', they escape any of the financial burdens that would be associated with the rebuilding of the area and they would earn the grudging respect/debt of the S. Korean regime that has long desired to re-unify. Long term this plays well for them in that the S. Koreans have no real love lost for the Japanese and the Japanese are the real competitive power brokers of the region.

Further it all but eliminates the excuse that the US has for enhanced military presence in the peninsula. A major step in reducing US dominance in the region, which coincides with China's long term goals as well.

The obstacle for China acting on those interests has always been about 'losing face' by tacitly betraying an ally. (A problem the US doesn't seem to have a problem with these days.) An internally fomented revolution with China acting as the 'humanitarian' savior would help them avoid the stigma.

Grampa Syphillish
Click to expand...

^^^At best, a cursory understanding of world politics. :rolleyes:

Keeping Korea split...and destabilized.... keeps a player off the chessboard. One less foreign country whose borders touch yours to worry about.
 
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