This Just Might Be The Worst Poll Yet For Democrats

[toubab]

http://www.businessinsider.com/poll-elections-republicans-democrats-obama-2014-5#!JxWWa

"The Republican Party is at its strongest point in two decades heading into midterm elections, according to a new Pew Research-USA Today poll, the latest daunting sign for Democrats ahead of campaign season.

The GOP is at an even stronger point than in previous "wave" elections in 1994 and 2010 and looks poised to make major gains — and possibly take control of the U.S. Senate.

"According to the poll, out Monday, Republicans have a 47-43 lead on the generic congressional ballot. That's a 10-point swing from October, when Democrats, boosted by GOP blame for the federal government shutdown, held a 6-point lead in the Pew poll.

Overall, Democrats are plagued by the still-sluggish economy, the unpopularity of the Affordable Care Act, and the undesirable views of President Obama. More voters (26%) say their vote will be "against" the president. Only 16% say their vote will be "for" Obama. And by more than a 2-to-1 margin, voters say they want the next president to pursue policies different from the Obama administration's priorities.""

Things are looking grim for the Democrats. It will take a miracle for them to avoid a crushing defeat in November.

 

[Skiddles2014]

I'm sure they're scared.

Now fuck off back where you came from.

 

[toubab]

I'm sure they're scared.

Now fuck off back where you came from.

They should be. And fuck you, idiot.

 

[islandman]

http://www.businessinsider.com/poll-elections-republicans-democrats-obama-2014-5#!JxWWa

"The Republican Party is at its strongest point in two decades heading into midterm elections, according to a new Pew Research-USA Today poll, the latest daunting sign for Democrats ahead of campaign season.

The GOP is at an even stronger point than in previous "wave" elections in 1994 and 2010 and looks poised to make major gains — and possibly take control of the U.S. Senate.

"According to the poll, out Monday, Republicans have a 47-43 lead on the generic congressional ballot. That's a 10-point swing from October, when Democrats, boosted by GOP blame for the federal government shutdown, held a 6-point lead in the Pew poll.

Overall, Democrats are plagued by the still-sluggish economy, the unpopularity of the Affordable Care Act, and the undesirable views of President Obama. More voters (26%) say their vote will be "against" the president. Only 16% say their vote will be "for" Obama. And by more than a 2-to-1 margin, voters say they want the next president to pursue policies different from the Obama administration's priorities.""

Things are looking grim for the Democrats. It will take a miracle for them to avoid a crushing defeat in November.

I imagine that a healthy percentage of them think that the President is running for something come October.

 

[toubab]

I imagine that a healthy percentage of them think that the President is running for something come October.

Americans are abysmally ignorant when it comes to politics. Most cannot name their two US Senators or their representative in the House. Hell, a lot don't even know who the VP is.

 

[garbage can]

I imagine that a healthy percentage of them think that the President is running for something come October.

It sounds like that.

 

[islandman]

Americans are abysmally ignorant when it comes to politics. Most cannot name their two US Senators or their representative in the House. Hell, a lot don't even know who the VP is.

It matters not so long as they tune into FOX or MSNBC religiously to be told what and how to think about things.

 

[toubab]

It matters not so long as they tune into FOX or MSNBC religiously to be told what and how to think about things.

I think it's worse than that. I think most just vote D or R. Period.

 

[garbage can]

http://www.businessinsider.com/poll-elections-republicans-democrats-obama-2014-5#!JxWWa

"The Republican Party is at its strongest point in two decades heading into midterm elections, according to a new Pew Research-USA Today poll, the latest daunting sign for Democrats ahead of campaign season.

The GOP is at an even stronger point than in previous "wave" elections in 1994 and 2010 and looks poised to make major gains — and possibly take control of the U.S. Senate.

"According to the poll, out Monday, Republicans have a 47-43 lead on the generic congressional ballot. That's a 10-point swing from October, when Democrats, boosted by GOP blame for the federal government shutdown, held a 6-point lead in the Pew poll.

Overall, Democrats are plagued by the still-sluggish economy, the unpopularity of the Affordable Care Act, and the undesirable views of President Obama. More voters (26%) say their vote will be "against" the president. Only 16% say their vote will be "for" Obama. And by more than a 2-to-1 margin, voters say they want the next president to pursue policies different from the Obama administration's priorities.""

Things are looking grim for the Democrats. It will take a miracle for them to avoid a crushing defeat in November.

People are looking for jobs, and under Obama there are none.

Obama exudes an air of depressing psychological negative vibes across the country.

His stalling on Keystone and fossel fuels in general, in addition to excessive regulation led by the EPA has people looking for change.

 

[dan_c00000]

I'm sure they're scared.

Now fuck off back where you came from.

I'm guessing he's completely ignoring these numbers.

http://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/68xzyrbuy0eyf9hwdy9tya.png

http://granitegrok.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Views-on-Republic-Party.png

 

[Wrong Element]

The GOP is at an even stronger point than in previous "wave" elections in 1994 and 2010 and looks poised to make major gains — and possibly take control of the U.S. Senate.


Difference is that the Democrats had majorities to lose in 1994 and 2010. Not the case today. The fact that they are already in the minority in the House, and that district lines were redrawn by Republicans in state capitols so as to elect pretty much the exact House we have right now, are going to limit Democratic losses in November. It's possible they won't lose any seats at all.

The Senate is a different story, but even there it's not a national election, but a series of individual state elections.

Anyway, you all might want to hold off on your victory parades for another six months. The GOP cheerleaders of September and October 2012 didn't heed my warnings and ended up looking like fools. Again.

 

[toubab]

The GOP is at an even stronger point than in previous "wave" elections in 1994 and 2010 and looks poised to make major gains — and possibly take control of the U.S. Senate.


Difference is that the Democrats had majorities to lose in 1994 and 2010. Not the case today. The fact that they are already in the minority in the House, and that district lines were redrawn by Republicans in state capitols so as to elect pretty much the exact House we have right now, are going to limit Democratic losses in November. It's possible they won't lose any seats at all.

The Senate is a different story, but even there it's not a national election, but a series of individual state elections.

Anyway, you all might want to hold off on your victory parades for another six months. The GOP cheerleaders of September and October 2012 didn't heed my warnings and ended up looking like fools. Again.

I think it's a sure thing Democrats will lose seats in both the House and Senate. The only question is how many.

 

[islandman]

One graph supporting the premise; two graphs refuting it.

Didn't see that one coming.

 

[KingOrfeo]

I'm guessing he's completely ignoring these numbers.

http://content.gallup.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/68xzyrbuy0eyf9hwdy9tya.png

http://granitegrok.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Views-on-Republic-Party.png

Of course, the only popularity that really matters is the popularity of each particular incumbent in his district/state relative to his challengers'. Red states are going to keep electing Pubs for some time to come (not necessarily forever) no matter how unpopular the party gets.

 

[KingOrfeo]

I think it's a sure thing Democrats will lose seats in both the House and Senate. The only question is how many.

We can't even reasonably speculate until after the primaries. E.g., we don't even know whether Mitch McConnell or his Tea Party challenger will be on the ballot in Kentucky. The Tea Partier might be beatable in the general election.

 

[Wrong Element]

We can't even reasonably speculate until after the primaries. E.g., we don't even know whether Mitch McConnell or his Tea Party challenger will be on the ballot in Kentucky. The Tea Partier might be beatable in the general election.

McConnell is home free in the primary, but he could have some trouble in November. Which would be ironic -- he first won his seat with a famous campaign in which he charged the Democratic incumbent with being a careerist who didn't pay attention to Kentucky anymore. The same tactic is now being turned on him.

 

[unregistered]

 

[Ulaven_Demorte]

People are looking for jobs, and under Obama there are none.

Obama exudes an air of depressing psychological negative vibes across the country.

His stalling on Keystone and fossel fuels in general, in addition to excessive regulation led by the EPA has people looking for change.

Moronic talking points.

People are looking for jobs, not the job killing communism of Barack Obama.

Moron rehashing the same moronic talking points.

 

[toubab]

We can't even reasonably speculate until after the primaries. E.g., we don't even know whether Mitch McConnell or his Tea Party challenger will be on the ballot in Kentucky. The Tea Partier might be beatable in the general election.

McConnell will win. You can bank on it.

 

[Disgustipated]

People are looking for jobs, and under Obama there are none.

Obama exudes an air of depressing psychological negative vibes across the country.

His stalling on Keystone and fossel fuels in general, in addition to excessive regulation led by the EPA has people looking for change.

How is it possible you got more dumb in your absence?

People are looking for jobs, not the job killing communism of Barack Obama.

You shouldn't use words you don't know the meaning of.

 

[phrodeau]

How is it possible you got more dumb in your absence?



You shouldn't use words you don't know the meaning of.

Senility.

 

[Skiddles2014]

Dipshittery.

 

[Ulaven_Demorte]

The most revealing sentence of the OP's linked story:

"According to the poll, out Monday, Republicans have a 47-43 lead on the generic congressional ballot."

As we've seen before, once the GOP starts naming names rather than "generic Republican" vs "generic Democrat" the "strongest point in two decades" evaporates. Need an example?

The "generic" Presidential polls for the Presidential election in 2012 put forward by Rassmussen indicated a "generic Republican" win over President Obama 47% to 42% as late as mid January 2012, Once the actual contenders on the GOP side were named that lead vanished and we all know how that election turned out.

 

[miles]

Never underestimate Republicans' penchant for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.

 

[RobDownSouth]

How is it possible you got more dumb in your absence?

I've been wondering that myself. His "willful ignorance", which has traditionally been very, very high, has ascended to near-Vettemanesque levels since he's been back.