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5 Facts About Immigration Reform Sen. Jeff Sessions Got Wrong
By Esther Yu-Hsi Lee on January 30, 2014 at 1:54 pm
Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-AL) has been busy this week opposing Republican efforts to overhaul the nation’s immigration system. On Monday, he authored an USA today op-ed, which likened any House Republican proposals to an “extraordinary act of self-sabotage.” On Tuesday, he “hand-delivered” a three-page memo to each member, deriding reform as bad policy, according to the conservative outlet Weekly Standard. And on Wednesday, Sessions provided dense reading material for House Republicans before they bussed over to their three day retreat at a Hyatt hotel in Maryland.
In the 30-page memo, Sessions urged his House Republican colleagues to abandon immigration reform, claiming that such legislation would increase future immigration flow and devastate American workers, wages, and the economy. His memo included “myths,” which he countered by using distorted data by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and partisan polling organizations, as well as research by an Harvard professor advocating for immigration restrictions. Here are some of the ways that Sessions is not presenting the full picture:
Data suggest immigration reform will lower, not raise, the flow of immigrants entering the country. Sessions insisted that the Senate plan, which has “now come to the House,” will triple immigration, based on a flawed calculation of the number of future immigrants. Yet that bill actually helps to clear the backlog of green cards and moves the process of “unauthorized entry into legal channels.” In reality, about 150,000 fewer people will enter the country each year under the Senate bill.
Average wages will likely rise due to immigration reform, not fall. Sessions misquoted the CBO score when he said, “per capita GNP, according to the CBO, will decline along with average wages.” The CBO analysis found that in the first decade, average American wages will fall by 0.1 percent, but this is due to new immigrants who enter the labor force and work at slightly lower wages. But as new immigrants and formerly undocumented immigrants find jobs that better suit their skills in the first decade, the average wages will then rise. And the CBO also stated that the “estimated reductions in average wages … do not necessarily imply that current U.S. residents would be worse off, on average, under the legislation than they would be under current law.”
Polls don’t show Americans oppose immigration reform. Sessions insisted that the American public is against immigration reform. according to polls by Rasmussen and other partisan outlets. Rasmussen has a history of skewing its data to serve the political right. But a host of other polls like Grover Norquist’s Americans for Tax Reform and Fox News have found that a majority of Americans support an earned pathway to citizenship, including voters in key Republican districts who “want a fix” to the “broken immigration system.” Several polls found that likely 2014 voters in House Republican districts also support immigration reform.
The restrictionist research cited by George Borjas has been superseded by many other studies. Borjas, the Harvard professor, whose research is cited in the memo, did find small, negative benefits to American workers due to reform. But Borjas’ work focused on the “simple story” of “national labor markets” in which immigrants “increased the supply of labor and therefore reduced the wages of similarly skilled native-born Americans.” But other economists argued that “the national-level studies did not recognize that immigrants were not directly competing with many native-born workers because immigrants provided a different kind of labor than native-born Americans. This group of economists focused on studying regional labor markets to prove their point.” What’s more, a supplemental CBO report found that unemployment would not rise since the economic growth from reform would help create millions of new jobs across the nation.
Immigrants will likely add more than they withdraw from the Social Security Trust Fund. Sessions claimed that immigrants will “[draw] out more than they will have paid in over time” to the Social Security Trust Fund. By 2024, immigration reform would add a net $284 billion to the Social Security trust fund. Over the next 36 years, studies show that undocumented immigrants would add a net $606 billion to the trust fund — during the same period that baby boomers will be retiring and drawing benefits. That will help fund a lifetime of retirement benefits for 2.4 million Americans.
Wrong, as usual.And the U.S. is a political port-a-potty; the difference is a matter of degree, not kind.
Flaming dumb ass has been your name.
Did I say it would happen? I said it could be done.
The fact is, Obama's motives in ignoring the illegal invasion from the South is a big part of his transformation plan. This amnesty plan goes through and in the next few years we'll see a wave of millions more make their way here in the same fashion, and then lobby for citizenship as their illegal entry is transformed into political reality and action.
Love how people bitch about Obama not being tough on immigration, yet NONE of their icons - GW, Bush I, and St Ronnie - were tough either!
Oh good.Our military and civil authorities are definitely capable of removing them and securing the border.
Oh good.
setting up of check points everywhere to make sure everyone out and about is a citizen.
They do tend to go to the extreme.
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Jesus, fuck.
How did these people make it out of high school?
Ted CruzThey may or may not be right, but their argument is that we should focus exclusively on Obamacare and on jobs. In that context, why on earth would the House dive into immigration right now? It makes no sense, unless you're Harry Reid. Republicans are poised for an historic election this fall--a conservative tidal wave much like 2010. The biggest thing we could do to mess that up would be if the House passed an amnesty bill--or any bill perceived as an amnesty bill--that demoralized voters going into November. Rather than responding to the big-money lobbying on K Street, we need to make sure working-class Americans show up by the millions to reject Obamacare and vote out the Democrats. Amnesty will ensure they stay home.
wLove how people bitch about Obama not being tough on immigration, yet NONE of their icons - GW, Bush I, and St Ronnie - were tough either!
That's what a border is, dumbass.
I think you need to look up the definition of "remove". You obviously don't know what it means. Most 5 year olds probably know what it means to remove something.Our military and civil authorities are definitely capable of removing them
The clown at the commie Thinkprogress must think that illegal entry will abate.![]()