Handprints
Literotica Guru
- Joined
- Jul 5, 2007
- Posts
- 547
AIG would be better off if the insurance company was separated and allowed to continue while the troubled parts are sold for scrap.
The problem you face is that the troubled parts are, in fact, some of the largest parts of AIG's insurance business. The soundbite that AIG had become "a hedge fund attached to a large and stable insurance company" - thanks Ben! - makes for a good line but isn't prescriptively useful. What was insured, and what is now crippling the company, is the value of billions+ of dollars worth of collateralized obligations. AIG became - willingly - the insurers of everybody else's hedging.
The hedge insurance and the other insurance lines are all backed by the same pool of AIG capital - the pool that your government has been topping up so regularly. If you want to separate the "troubled" part (a bit like calling Jaffrey Dahmer troubled, in my view), you also have to give that new entity its far share of the remaining AIG capital. In this instance, that's far more than 100%. You can't unbreak this stuff by artificially separating the parts. You just wind up with two broken things instead of one. I understand why this looks like a clean solution but, if you'll take my word for it, this is the equivalent of a doctor saying: "Because of the 200 bullets it took, this body's ruined, but we can cut that arm off to enjoy a life of its own."
Another thing to remember when considering any move to tank out the toxic asset insurers: the guys who insured CMOs, CDOs and what have you - the AIGs who are now bleeding out from the volume of the credit default swap insurance payments - are the last line in the sand before the lawsuit fiesta kicks off. These companies are providing the only payments that prevent holders of repackaged mortgages from suing everyone involved in their creation. Right now, the CXO problem is horrible, but relatively local. Make a move that stops CDS payments, however well-intentioned, and every bank in the US that sold a mortgage over the past ten years (ie 75%+) has, immediately, to begin reserving capital to deal with future legal claims, further reducing their ability to lend. You may feel that this exploding grenade isn't properly the government's business, but I don't think the government should take actions that set off equivalent grenades in every bank branch in the country.
Hope that's of interest,
H