For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

Gazprom's Astrakhan gas processing plant yesterday stopped production of motor fuel after a fire caused by a drone attack, — Reuters.

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Is Ukraine clearing Russian air defense to open a path through to Moscow and make some serious strikes?

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Updated map of the regions of Russia where there are shortages of gasoline or diesel and how early was it first reported. Also the occupied territories are suffering even more than this.

Crimea is apparently completely put of gasolinr. The railway line alomg the coast and thru Kerson has been cut and is out of service for weeks at least. Crimea is again being supplied across the Kerch Bridge. Which is not in the best of shape.
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Nice little background piece on the Flamingo......

Coming Moscow's way soon.....

The Ukrainian design philosophy behind the FP-5 Flamingo is utterly alien to the Big/Expensive/Few Western Defense contractors.

"According to Terekh, the design process for the Flamingo was the same as for other products: the rocket went through filters — can we mass-produce it? Will it be cost-effective? Will it be effective on the battlefield? ou can use anything. The main thing is that it works well on the battlefield, and not that it looks beautiful on paper or in advertising booklets. This is the main criterion." The FP-5 started as a napkin idea in the summer of 2024. It was a kind of compilation between the Soviet "Strizh" and "very famous Western counterparts". Sounds very much like the way the old Lockheed "Skunk Works" worked.

The FP-5 enclosure is manufactured fully automatically on a carbon fiber winding machine. The entire fuselage manufacturing cycle takes 6 hours. The use of composite materials reduces the effective scattering area (EPR), which directly affects radar visibility. In addition, it is stated that the missile flies at very low altitudes - "never higher than 50 meters". The main idea of the development is to deliver 1,150 kg of payload very cheaply over a distance "where no one has ever been able to deliver such cargo before." At the same time, range is not the main priority. "Some of our recent operations have proven that despite all the criticism - that the Flamingo is very noticeable, very vulnerable, not maneuverable - it was still able to achieve its targets. And over the past three years, no one has been able to break through the air defense system. Yes, it may not be perfect, but it's not the main task either."

The launcher and "the whole system" are also of the company's own production. "We purposefully strived for cheapness and minimal visibility. I can confirm: you can never tell among the trucks on the road whether there is a Flamingo missile inside or not. And this is our goal, for the sake of staff safety. Because any equipment with a "military appearance" on the battlefield is immediately noticed by reconnaissance drones. And this puts people at great risk." The accuracy of the Flamingo is declared at the level of 14 meters, "including areas where we were actively jammed and spoofed." However, as Terekh notes, the company still needs to collect more statistics. "In our experience, accuracy depends not only on the technical capabilities of the missile, but also on the mission planning strategy. Currently, 14 meters is a repeatedly confirmed result. But of course, there may be factors that will affect accuracy. If this happens, we know how to work with it. But I am quite satisfied with what we have now, because with a warhead of a thousand kilograms, this is a very good result. We don't need more precision. Because greater accuracy will mean the use of more expensive equipment, which will lead to a decrease in the quantity in production."

The trick for Flamingo now is to make it as massive as possible in use. The company is "satisfied" with the precision, "almost satisfied" with mass production, but not yet satisfied with the scale of launches, which mainly depends on the number of people who can go to the launch. What this article underlines is Fire Point engineers are focused on (mass) production engineering and systems engineering to get into mass production an 80% solution to AFU's military requirements.

Something post-Cold War US defense contractors are incompetent at doing.

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New warheads and in-house engine production for the Flamingo

Here's the Ukrainian article, translated:

During the MSPO 2025 military exhibition, the Ukrainian company Fire Point held a press conference, which was attended by Militarnyi's correspondent. At it, Iryna Terekh, CTO of Fire Point, spoke about the company's achievements and further plans for the development of Flamingo cruise missiles and announced the development of ballistic missiles.

How it all began

According to Iryna Terekh, Fire Point was founded by people with a technological background, but without specific defense experience, in 2022, after the start of the full-scale invasion. In her opinion, this gave the company a fresh look at modern existing technologies in order to rethink them and translate them into developments. In addition, the founders of the company were aware that Ukraine had significantly fewer resources, so they focused on finding "asymmetric solutions". "And we realized that since we have significantly fewer resources than our neighbors, we have to fight asymmetrically. We began to think about what could be an alternative for a forward strike - something that would be cheaper, at least as close to mass production as theirs, and at the same time very effective in the sense of electronic warfare. That's how the FP-1 drone was born."

According to the CTO, each project goes through several filters during the creation process:
  • Is it possible to mass-produce it?
  • Will it be economically feasible?
  • The ratio of the cost of damage caused to the cost of damage.
  • According to Terekh, it is extremely important to be in the context of what is happening on the battlefield. There is no "magic pill" or big secret on how to make products effective. You just need to test and test, and think a few steps ahead of the enemy.
Therefore, according to her, during each launch of products, the company's engineers accompany the military. At the same time, the Russians are "hunting" for launch commands, and the company's team has already "caught several arrivals during the launch process." Fortunately, no one was injured.

FP-1 and FP-2 drones

The FP-1 is designed for deep strikes against enemy targets and is mainly used at night. With the serial production of FP-1s and the ability to produce thousands of them every month, the company has created a number of auxiliary productions that serve the main production. Thanks to this, the company manufactures up to 90% of each product in its own workshops.

According to Terekh, a big plus of drones is that they are both simple and reliable at a price of about 55 thousand dollars per unit. At the same time, the FP-1 is responsible for more than 60% of long-range strikes. "Another huge compliment I received from our Armed Forces: each drone is like a new Kalashnikov. It is very simple, very clear. There's nothing "fantastic" about it, but you can always rely on it. Always. You know exactly what the result will be. And this helps a lot to remove the psychological burden from technical operation and transfer it to the military strategy, where you clearly know what you are working with," she says.

The FP-2 appeared as a modification of the FP-1. It was designed to operate at medium and short distances with a higher payload. The drone is capable of carrying 120 kg of payload at a distance of up to 200 km. In general, the design of all FP drones is modular. Therefore, the R&D for the FP-2 took only three weeks. "We were able to create a new model because we received feedback from the front: we really need a device for operational and tactical tasks at a distance of up to 200 km. And this is what the army really lacks - a drone with a large carrying capacity. There are many drones that can carry 5-10 kg, but nothing really big for logistics, railways, headquarters, bases or warehouses."

But under the FP-1 and FP-2 indices, there are actually several versions of drones. In particular, the FP-2 already has three different options. Some of them work as FPVs, while others are completely autonomous. It is stated that FP-2 drones are already used at the front, in particular to destroy railway facilities and logistics centers of the Russians.

FP-5 "Flamingo"

"'Flamingo' is a 'wunderwaffe'. A very large, pink, noticeable "wunderwaffe". And we are not ashamed of the fact that this is a 'child prodigy'."

According to Terekh, the design process for the Flamingo was the same as for other products: the rocket went through filters — can we mass-produce it? Will it be cost-effective? Will it be effective on the battlefield?

"You can use anything. The main thing is that it works well on the battlefield, and not that it looks beautiful on paper or in advertising booklets. This is the main criterion."

FP-5 started as a napkin idea in the summer of 2024. It was a kind of compilation between the Soviet "Strizh" and "very famous Western counterparts". The FP-5 enclosure is manufactured fully automatically on a carbon fiber winding machine. The entire fuselage manufacturing cycle takes 6 hours. The use of composite materials reduces the effective scattering area (EPR), which directly affects radar visibility.

In addition, it is stated that the missile flies at very low altitudes - "never higher than 50 meters".

The main idea of the development is to deliver 1,150 kg of payload very cheaply over a distance "where no one has ever been able to deliver such cargo before." At the same time, range is not the main priority.

"Some of our recent operations have proven that despite all the criticism - that the Flamingo is very noticeable, very vulnerable, not maneuverable - it was still able to achieve its targets. And over the past three years, no one has been able to break through the air defense system. Yes, it may not be perfect, but it's not the main task either."

The launcher and "the whole system" are also of the company's own production.

"We purposefully strived for cheapness and minimal visibility. I can confirm: you can never tell among the trucks on the road whether there is a Flamingo missile inside or not. And this is our goal, for the sake of staff safety. Because any equipment with a "military appearance" on the battlefield is immediately noticed by reconnaissance drones. And this puts people at great risk."

The accuracy of the Flamingo is declared at the level of 14 meters, "including areas where we were actively jammed and spoofed." However, as Terekh notes, the company still needs to collect more statistics. "In our experience, accuracy depends not only on the technical capabilities of the missile, but also on the mission planning strategy. Currently, 14 meters is a repeatedly confirmed result. But of course, there may be factors that will affect accuracy. If this happens, we know how to work with it. But I am quite satisfied with what we have now, because with a warhead of a thousand kilograms, this is a very good result. We don't need more precision. Because greater accuracy will mean the use of more expensive equipment, which will lead to a decrease in the quantity in production."

The trick for Flamingo now is to make it as massive as possible in use. The company is "satisfied" with the precision, "almost satisfied" with mass production, but not yet satisfied with the scale of launches, which mainly depends on the number of people who can go to the launch.

The only area where Fire Point does not directly work is in combat units. This element is manufactured and developed by other Ukrainian companies. According to Terekh, a cluster warhead and "many other types" will also be created soon. Currently, the missile uses a penetrating warhead that "pierces thick concrete" and goes 10 meters underground.

Production is almost completely automated and divided into many different locations. As of the beginning of September, the production rate is about 2 missiles per day (full cycle). With a plan to reach 200 per month by the end of this year.
 

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The company currently uses a stock of old turbojet aircraft engines with a residual life of less than 10 hours.

"There are thousands of such engines,
and we bought them in advance so that we could have a margin before mass production... We have a large stock for many months to come. No one is producing them for us now. We found these engines literally "in the trash" and restored them." However, given the finiteness of this stock and the high planned production rates, Fire Point is already building a plant under license from a Ukrainian manufacturer in order to manufacture engines independently from the beginning of next year. At the same time, the design of the engine was simplified as much as possible, given the need to make them cheaply and massively with a built-in resource of 10 hours of operation.

AI, navigation, FP-3 and FP-4 and ballistic missiles

According to Terekh, the FP-3 and FP-4 are "empty slots" for R&D models coming soon. There is no "big idea" in this name, it is "just a different speed of project development and prioritization."

AI is used in many technologies that are applied in "all products of the company". In particular, in guidance systems at the last stage of flight, interaction with systems, "night map matching" at low altitudes, and in many other cases. The company's main focus now is projects in the field of air defense and ballistic missiles. "It should work without 'shiny shows' around. I think that Ukraine without its own line of ballistic missiles for various tasks will not be able to win the war or defend itself in the future. Therefore, our main focus at the moment is ballistics and air defense... We will tell you more when we have successful results not only in the laboratory, but also on the battlefield," said Iryna Terekh.

According to the technical director, classic GPS navigation is very quickly approaching its end.

"I don't know how much longer we will be able to use this technology. This is a constant race: we make better antennas, they make better jammers; we build better GNSS receivers, they try to arrange jammers differently to get in our way. Yes, so far we will win, but does it make sense to spend so much effort?" she explains.

That is why the company is focused on "lock matching" technologies, on any visual solutions, lasers, closed satellite grids, and sometimes on radio communication.

Plant in Denmark
"I would say this: there are certain principles and values in our team. And we have a very good memory of all the good and bad things that have been done for us. Denmark is one of the countries that has been the most altruistic of all European states. And we are extremely grateful for that. They have been providing funding for Ukrainian defense for months, not only for our company, but for the defense of Ukraine in general. And they did it without expecting anything in return," Iryna Terekh answered in response to the question why Denmark was chosen to open a new plant of solid fuel engines.

Denmark has adopted a special law, which was unofficially called "FP Law". It deregulated the bureaucracy in the field of defense production.

"This is a great honor and a huge credit of trust to Ukrainian manufacturers. We are just one of many companies in this process," she said.

The construction is taking place within the framework of the "Build with Ukraine" program, created so that other Ukrainian manufacturers can also open their production facilities in Denmark. This plant will work exclusively in the interests of Ukraine until the end of the war. This is not an export activity. The company is ready to take on risks, logistics and additional costs in order to maintain one of the most sensitive productions - after all, the production of solid rocket fuel is very vulnerable.

"In Ukraine, we already have a fairly large production of solid fuel engines. We didn't expect it, but it works now — delivering FP-1, FP-2, and FP-5. But due to massive missile strikes every night, we are afraid that it can be destroyed at any time. This can cause enormous damage. Of course, this is not the only location, we don't do such stupid things. But still, there are missiles and explosives inside. It's very risky," she explains.

https://militarnyi.com/uk/articles/...-inshi-pidsumky-preskonferentsiyi-fire-point/

Those warheads are actually old USSR-era bombs they're recycling from the old stockpiles - they have thousands of them as well.....

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These two TOR SAM systems were just sitting in the middle of fields with no camouflage or drone netting. The skill level attritional decay of Russian ground-based air defenses is accelerating.

This is occurring across the entire Russian military. Specialist units have been thrown into the meatgrinder to make up the numbers needed for constant assaults and eliminated. The experienced junior officers who are NCO-equivalents and do all the training are now dead. Skills and tactics are degrading and specialist expertise is being eliminated across the board and the casualty ratio continues to swing heavily in Ukraine's favor.

Basic camoflage is a standard technique and that it's not being even attempted is indicative of a huge drop off in training and command skills. On top of everything, that's $50,000,000 of irreplacable air defnse systems toasted.



https://en.defence-ua.com/news/50_m...nd_damage_two_tor_m2_systems_video-15921.html
 
Kyiv ZEROES IN on Russia’s Blind Spots

Russia’s focus on defending Crimea has left its oil refineries exposed, and Ukraine is exploiting that blind spot with relentless drone strikes. These attacks are crippling fuel supplies, draining Moscow’s war chest, and disrupting its military on the front lines. With mounting losses, fuel shortages, and a crumbling war effort, Putin’s critical mistake is becoming impossible to ignore as Ukraine targets the very lifeblood of Russia’s war machine.

 

EXPLOSIONS IN RUSSIA: MOSCOW - KRASNODAR - ASTRAKHAN ON FIRE


The demilitarization of Russia continues. Drone strikes all over Russia, and now in Asian Russia. Russian fuel crisis is growing.

 

Moscow's Airports SHUT DOWN by Ukraine


In a major escalation, Ukrainian drone attacks have reached the heart of Russia, closing Moscow's airports and disrupting airspace. Russian officials have confirmed a large-scale drone assault on the capital, forcing flight cancellations and delays at major international hubs. The air defense systems were reportedly engaged for hours, underscoring the expanding reach of the conflict deep into Russian territory.

In occupied Crimea, Ukrainian forces conducted a historic operation with strategic significance. Drones successfully targeted and destroyed two Be-12 amphibious patrol aircraft. This drone attack also hit an Mi-8 helicopter, dealing a significant blow to Russia's naval aviation capabilities and maritime surveillance in the Black Sea. The targeted aircraft, vital for detecting and combating submarines, represent an irreplaceable loss for Russian forces, signaling a new vulnerability for high-value military assets on the peninsula.

The geopolitical tension is also being felt across Europe, with drone sightings causing chaos and airport closures in major cities like Copenhagen and Oslo. While a direct Russian connection is not confirmed, officials have not ruled out a link to a "capable actor."

Meanwhile, pro-Ukrainian partisan groups like ATESH are active behind enemy lines, claiming responsibility for sabotaging railway tracks in Smolensk to disrupt the logistics for Kh-59 missile production.

The recent attacks on Russian airports, military aircraft, and logistics demonstrate Ukraine’s expanding capability to strike deep into enemy territory, marking a critical new phase in the conflict.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 Russia's Military is Breaking Apart
01:35 Drone Attacks on Russian Airports and Airspace
03:57 Russia is Threatening Europe with Drones
05:22 Black Sea Fleet is Losing Its Eyes
07:01 The Inevitable End of Putin's Regime
10:52 Why Russia Is Out of Options and Losing the War
14:43 Outro

 
It’s odd the “ra ra Vladimir” brigade on here haven’t stepped up to explain this particular 180 reverse.

Fucking tumble weed.
 
Commander Robert 'Magyar' Brovdi : confirms: Ukraine's 14th Regiment struck Gazprom's massive Astrakhan Gas Processing Plant on Sept 22. The site, key to 66% of Russia’s sulfur for explosives, is offline. Fuel production halted, trading suspended and a full staff evacuation is reported.

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Sweden & Poland Ready to Shoot Down Russian Jets

- 130 Chinese freight trains stuck at Belarus-Polish Border after Poland closed Belarus border on 12 Sept.
- Billions of euros of Chinese exports stuck (3.7% of chinese exports go thru this route
- Poland and Sweden have said they will shoot down any Russian jets who cross into their airspace
- Trump categorically says yes, NATO should shoot down Russian jets that cross into NATO airspace. No spin.
- lots of other interesting stuff

00:00 Intro
00:20 Poland is standing firm - freight to EU completely halted
02:26 Sweden and Poland to shoot down Russian jets if needed
03:26 UN Meeting
04:47 Trump in yesterdays' UN meeting
08:10 Trump statement on the war
11:11 Key points
12:26 Escalator broke under Trump
13:13 Macron
13:58 U.S. does not like Baltic stance against Putin
14:59 Buy Me a Coffee
16:48 Moldovan elections
20:03 Frontlines
20:19 Sumy
22:21 Pokrovske
24:36 Pokrovsk
25:57 Reality of the situation reported from DPR veteran
27:41 Dmitry Rogozin
28:41 August 20-th strike
29:36 Drone attack in Moscow

 

Ukraine Drones BLEEDING Russia Dry


Ukraine’s drones are devastating Russia on the battlefield and collapsing Moscow’s fragile economy at the same time. New footage shows FP-2 strike drones hitting Russian UAV units near Ukrainsk, only 20 kilometers from the front line. Each FP-2 carries a 100-kilogram warhead and destroys radars, vehicles, and equipment that Russia cannot easily replace.

Ukraine is also deploying the SH-2 tactical drone - a low-cost, high-endurance system that resists electronic warfare and makes every artillery shell count. Together, these drones expose Russia’s defenses and force the Kremlin to spend scarce foreign currency on replacements. What Ukraine builds for tens of thousands of dollars, Russia must counter with missiles worth hundreds of thousands.

The economic pressure is accelerating. Oil and gas revenues are shrinking, the ruble is unstable, inflation is above 8 percent, and reserves are draining month by month. Moscow faces a $26 billion shortfall in energy income while households cut spending and businesses suffer from higher fuel and import costs. Each Ukrainian drone strike doubles the pain: destroying equipment on the front while draining dollars from Russia’s budget.
This is why battlefield victories now equal economic collapse. Ukraine’s drones are proving that smart technology can dismantle Russia’s war machine faster than Moscow can rebuild it.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 Zelensky's Confidence & Russia's Strategic Failure
03:31 The "Paper Tiger": Why Russia Can't Win
04:24 Ukraine's Cheap Drones Destroy Russia's Economy
06:24 The Kremlin’s Financial Crisis & Shrinking War Chest
08:50 The Economic Collapse Hits Russians
13:24 Russia's Unwinnable War: A Future Without a Plan
14:41 Outro

 

Tuapse Port Infrastructure Hit by Ukrainian Naval Drones!


The recent Ukrainian naval drone attack on the Tuapse oil terminal in Russia, a few hours ago, caused significant disruption to Black Sea oil shipments. This clip explores the immediate impact and geopolitical implications as Russian ports reportedly suspend operations following the strike. Jonathan MS Pearce provides in-depth analysis of the incident, including footage of the drone exploding upon contact with the oil loading pier. The attack reportedly targeted fuel oil and diesel facilities, leading to the temporary suspension of loading at two major Russian Black Sea ports. This examination delves into the strategic implications of such strikes on Russian energy infrastructure and potential long-term effects on the conflict.


I don't usually repost clips from Kamal13 but these are on Tuapse too


Part of the same series of overall Ukrainian attacks aling the Black Sea coast

 
Ukraine launched a daytime sea-drone attack against Novorossisk. The Russian ground fire hit the drone but it also destroyed nearby buildings, parking lots, and at least one Russian ship is reportedly sunk by Russian fire.
 
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