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For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

Update from Ukraine | Ruzzia Lost Su-34 Planes Again | Massive Kabooms | USA stops mil Support again​


 
HisArpy said:
If Ukraine and Russia stop trying to kill each other and make peace, there's no genocide, there's no forever war, there's just peace.

And then there's the question of how many times do you need to be told that the US and NATO are living up to the Budapest agreement by sending arms to Ukraine?
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Sure.. the great IF. IF only we stopped the killing, everyone would be at peace. Fairy tale with another of your Peter Pan analogies coming soon.

There was peace before Putin invaded Ukraine. If he had lived out his life as Trump's best friend and stayed in his lane. Ukraine would have been happy. It was happy until Putin woke up one morning with a desire to do more than watch military parades.

It's another piece that Putin wants: a piece of the south, a piece of the north, and a piece of the east. After all, Putin has said Russians and Ukrainians are one people, so Ukraine belongs to Russia as a matter of origin. That means Putin wants the whole piece of Ukraine, and then there might be peace.

Is the US living up to its agreements? Hegseth has stopped shipping weapons. I believe that contradicts your statement about arms to Ukraine.
 
ChloeTzang said:
LOL. You're out to lunch on this. Putin is intent on recreating the USSR and Ukraine is just the first. There will be no peace. Trump's already offered him Eastern Ukraine and Crimea and he's ignored that offer because he knows Trump won't do shit.

Except of course take away air defense missiles and ammo, and ignore Ukraine's request to buy air defense systems.

We also know Trump has no intention of fighting if Putin invades NATO members. He's as good as said that. Nope, Trump is siding with Putin. He's as evil as Putin is. Ukraine jas no choivce but to fight and win. And if that means Ukraine as to dirty bomb Russia in the end, so be it.

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As I said, Putin knows he's in a position of power. He doesn't have to yield. He will eventually win regardless of what Ukraine does, with or without US/world support. The ONLY way that doesn't happen is WWIII.

Trump's biggest flaw in his plan is that it mirrors Chamberlain's Appeasement Policy attempt with Germany. However, unlike Chamberlain, Trump has the US military to back him up. I'm not sure Putin is taking that into account.
 
HisArpy said:
As I said, Putin knows he's in a position of power. He doesn't have to yield. He will eventually win regardless of what Ukraine does, with or without US/world support. The ONLY way that doesn't happen is WWIII.

Trump's biggest flaw in his plan is that it mirrors Chamberlain's Appeasement Policy attempt with Germany. However, unlike Chamberlain, Trump has the US military to back him up. I'm not sure Putin is taking that into account.
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Putin has already lost. The harder Putin's orcs fight, the worse they perform. Attrition alone does not win wars, and Putin's gamble that Ukraine could be ground down over time has been a bad one.

At thispint it's not that complicated. 2025 is half gone , and Putin’s endless grind in Ukraine has achieved precious little of military value in exchange for around two hundred thousand casualties - maybe a full quarter of a million. The Ukrainian frontlines are holdimg steady - but the propaganda mill is working overtime. Look at it - Russia has spent months buildimg up reserves, thrown them in to Sumy, and the offensive there is done. There seems to be a total inability to understand that exchanging a couple hundred casualties to gain a square kilometer a day in Donbas does not equate to a stalemate. It's losing. Ukraine has made a conscious choice to fight this way, inflicting massive casualties on the Russians, taking out their logistics, destroying their military industry and their economy, and reducing them to an army of foot soldiers.

Note that it is the Russians throwing themselves into the meat grinder and....getting ground, the way attacking infantry did in WW1. Their tanks, the few that make it anywhere near the front, and there are less and less of those, are now T62's from the 1960's. These are the equiavalent of our old M60 Patton's. Their artillery is Korean War or EE2 vintage. They are running down. They cannt make barrels fast enough to replave wear and tear. The Ukrainians have artillery superiority. The Ukrainians have drone superiority and it's getting more superior by the day. Drones don't need men. Women can operate quite capably in drone units from a little behind the front and that frees up manpower - or allows Ukraine to build new drone units without impacting manpower. Ukraine fights with very few men alomg the front, but a LOT of drones, and not many Russians are actually filterimg up to the front line - 80-90% of their casualties are taken in that 20kms between the rear and the contact line - it's a hunting zone in that 20-50kms, movement is mostly now on foot as vehicles get taken out as soon as spotted - and Russian numbers don't matter - there are always more drones.

The Ukrainians are moving so fast with drones - they now have drones that can skim the surface and identify and map mines. They have ground drones for logistics, for laying mines, for removing mines, drones with machineguns, drones for casualty evac, you name it, they are designimng and building drones to do it and its'a capitalist free for all - there are now hundreds of Ukrainian drone manufacturig companies, designing, buildimg, competinf and assisting with each other and they work directly with front line units to customize, modify, improve and come up with mission specific drones. Other EU countries see what's happening and they are now working with Ukraine, making drones for Ukraine and for themselves at the same time, as well as setting up their own foreign drone manufacturing concerns inside Ukraine. Russia simply cannot compete with that. ANd as we can see with 155mm ammo production, the EU HAS heavy industry and can scale up fast - far faster than the US, and with two dozn countries all going at it simultaneously, 155mm ammo production is now scaling up faster than anyone anticipated.

It's the big ticket items that are taking longer, but apart from air defence and IFV's, the big ticket items are not quite so relevant. The Black Sea has proved that warships won't last too long in the next war. Nor will the fleet commanders. LOL. Air defense is the big thing - but here there is a hige difference, and one that everyne should be aware of.

Russia is launching massive missile and drone attacks, but they are largely targeting cibvilians at random and only occassionally hitting econimic and military targets. Zelensky is noisily pleadimg fr air defenses to save civilian lives, and quite rightly - BUT as the WW2 allied terror bombig campaign on Germany proved (Dresdem, Hamburg, Cologne and all the rest) as well as the German blitz on the UK, terror bombing of civilians does NOT win wars. All it does is piss the civilians off and build up hate for the enemy - and Ukrainians now have a real hate on for Russians in general. The Russian terror bombimgs are actually a good thing - they continue to generate support for Ukraine - they do not generally impact the Ukrainian war effort (and from that perspective, far netter that those expensive Iskanders kill a few women and children than hit a factory buildimg weapons), and they convince Ukrainians that the only thing to do is fight to the death. Preferable the death of the Russians.

Andlike Mossad, they are taking names, and the HUR will be killing Russian war criminals (pretty much every Russian involved in this war) inside Russia and around the world for decades after this war is over.

Conversely, Ukraine is progressivley dismantling the Russian economy and Russian industry. Factory after factory producing essential militart equipment is being taken out, as we have seen, Russian ammo dumps are being targeted - and that has an impact on shell and missile availability. Logistics - the Russian rail system is now stratimg to be dosmantled. Air dfences are beimg torn to shreds. The Russian air force is being decimated, and the remainimg aircraft are being so heavily used that they are starting to fall out of the sky on their own. Russian HQ's and commanders are being eliminated every day - over the last few days we have seen the Black Sea Fleet commander exterminated (he's the second to go up in smoke) and the entire 8th Army HQ in Donetsk zapped like the pestiferous bugs they are. Apparently they carried out dozens of bodies - that's an entire Army HQ gone, lock stock and barrel. Things like THAT have a huge impact.

Manwhile, Ukrains is building up capabilities to use at scale when it counts, ignoring every effort to badger the country into fighting someone else’s way. Unless I'm horribly mistaken, Ukraine is winning the struggle to build up sufficient reserves to mount a successful and extensive counteroffensive this summer and fall. At the strategic level, Ukraine now has the Russians right where it needs them to be - assuming the plan is to push Putin’s army to overstretch ahead of a determined counterstroke, like an elastic band snapping back. It's what we are NOT seeing that is important here. We are NOT seeing all the new IFV's that we KNOW are being delivered - Patrias, CV90's Lynxes, Fuchs, the new Bohdana's that are pouting off the manufacturing line. What we ARE seeing is the slow reorg into a Corps structure as Ukrainian units reposition themselves, and we are NOT seeing some of those units alomg the frontlines.

What we ARE seeing is a long term shaping operation taking place, and Syrski is no fool. When and where will Ukraine mount a major counterattack this summer? LIke the Kursk incursion, we’ll know a few days after it begins and even then, it may be a feint.

Trump's flaw is he has no fucking clue. He has a huge ego, he doesn't listem to what he doesn't want to hear, he has a hard on for Putin, and he has less knowledge of the military than I do, and I read and I listenand I ask questions and I know quite a few ex-military people who give me shit and pick holes in my posts and I learn from that all the time. That and I follow a couple of dozen milbloggers like Mick Ryan, Ben Hodges and more. Smart people. Way smarter than I will ever hope to be but I try and keep up.

Simply, Trump is backig the wrong side in this and it's going to cost the USA. I thought he was smarter than that, but he's showing himself to be a fool, along wth a lot of his advisors. And what they do seem to be afraid of is that Russian will be defeated, and after defeat witll collapse and fragment - which is inevitable, I'm afraid. The cost of dealing with that feagmenttion will far exceed the cost of this war - alth China will likely take care of everything east of the Urals.
 
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Russians are panicking just a little.....come on, guys, it was just an ammo dump you left out.

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Sean Parnell admits the U.S. military has everything it needs to carry out any mission, and in doing, so, unwittingly refutes the lie used by Elbridge Colby to cutoff air defense missiles to Ukraine. By his own words, Parnell is admitting there is no shortage of weapons and the haltimg og military aid shipments to Ukraine is a straight out sabotaging of Ukraine's defense capabilities.

By pilicy, the USA keeps enough stocks for 2 conflicts. And at least 75% of the allocated money to Ukraine has stayed in America to replenish old stocks sent to Ukraine since 2022. The $'s budgeted were not used on Ukraine. They were used to replace end-of-life ammo and equipment that we would have had to pay to get rid of.

Trumps is juat an asshole who is siding with Putin.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1940492558872072562
 
Looks like Gripen sales are pickimg up internationally

now toss in the M1s, the helos, the rockets, and guns... the us defebse industry will lose trillions over time in lost sales - and all thanks to Trump. Portugal, Canada and other countries are also likely to buy European fighter aircraft. That's what happens when you aren't a reliable partner. It goes double for Canada, who is the victim of economic terrorism by Washington, and threatened with annexation by TACO.

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EU to step up support for Ukraine in response to US aid suspension​


Following the suspension of some types of US military aid to Ukraine, the European Union must strengthen its own support for Ukraine.

Source: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, as reported by European Pravda correspondent

Details: Speaking during a media briefing in Copenhagen on the occasion of Denmark's assumption of the EU presidency, Von der Leyen stated that the suspension of US aid sends a message to the EU that it needs to scale up its own support for Kyiv.

Quote: "For us, it's a clear signal, a clear message to step up our own support. So ramping up our European defence capacities, not only at the level of the European Union but at a continental level."

More details: Von der Leyen recalled that the EU has already provided military assistance to Ukraine worth around €50 billion, including equipment.

Quote: "Denmark has shown with its significant deliveries as of the start of the war how to do it, from a much-needed artillery to F-16s, for example. I, for my part, can only recommend using SAFE now.

Here are 150 billion euros. The member states can take this money and either buy military equipment and give it to Ukraine, or they can take this money and invest it in the extremely efficient Ukrainian defence industry."

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/07/3/7520053/
 
Its raining eliminated Russian officers lately.

In Korenovo, Kursk region, a strike on a Russian command post reportedly eliminated Major General Mikhail Gudkov, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Russian Navy.

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Read that again. The traitors in the Whte House are reducing weapons shipments to Ukraine in order to "bring the war to a conclusion."

Translated: Fuckface Quisling in the Chickenshit House is tryimg to force Ukraine to surrender. Again.

It won't work of course, and hes going to come out of this having lost the USA ever ally we had. NOBODY is this stupid. It HAS to be deliberate.

Clearer and clearer that Trump is a Russian asset. Anf if he's nopt, he's to fucking stupid to be President. Roll on 2026 and impeachment.

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Russian Railways is facing a worsening crisis. 300,000 disused railway wagons are congesting the network, entire freight trains have been abandoned for months, there are critical shortages of locomotives and workers, and a major drop in loading across the network. Russian Railways (RZD) has been in trouble for several years. It is facing an extremely severe shortage of staff, with some divisions of the company reportedly as much as 60% understaffed. (they imposed a 50% cut on payments to employees and have such a severe shortage of personnel that some divisions of the company are down to 40% of their intended staff numbers. Despite this, it has imposed a ban on hiring).

ZD's problems have a huge impact on Russia's economy. It handles 47% of all cargo transport in Russia, and as much as 87% if pipelines are excluded. It's vital to the economy and the Russian military alike, as Russia's roads can't accomodate all the freight carried by rail. Novaya Gazeta Evropa has been examining RZD's accelerating decline. It reports that freight traffic on the network was 8% less in 2024 than in 2021, the worst drop seen since the 2009 global economic crisis. The drop has not been evenly distributed among cargo types. The decline of RZD's cargo volumes has now been going on for 20 consecutive months and appears to be accelerating. It is already down by 7% in only the first five months of 2025, following 2024's 4% fall and another 4% fall in 2022.

Sanctions initially hit two particular cargo categories hard: exported raw materials (-18% for timber, -8% for ferrous metals, and -5% for ore and coal), and products of western companies that exited Russia in 2022 (categorised as "cargo by industry", down by 14%). Volumes of non-sanctioned cargoes also fell due to difficulties with international settlements, with goods such as fertilisers experiencing a 7% drop. Overall, cargo volumes fell by 4% across the RZD network. Volumes recovered somewhat in 2023 because of a rush by foreign buyers to purchase goods before stricter EU and US sanctions came into force. However, the tightening of sanctions helped to cause the big drop seen in 2024.

Sectors of the economy that had been growing declined sharply, especially wheat cultivation, which is no longer profitable in Russia. Grain cargoes are down by a third in the first half of 2025 alone. A growing crisis in construction has reduced demand for many other goods. Military cargoes, labelled by RZD as "Other cargo, including in containers", have been growing steadily since 2022, but are still nowhere near enough to make up for the losses incurred for other goods. The military also takes priority, displacing other cargoes onto the roads. Russia's truckers have enjoyed a boom, even as the railways have declined. In 2024, the amount of road freight increased by 8% as RZD trains ground to a halt and its tariffs were hiked. The war in Ukraine has greatly changed the pattern of RZD's operations. Sanctions have ended most Russian trade with Europe. Frequent Ukrainian attacks mean that fewer ships sail to Russia's Black Sea ports. Most westbound rail freight transport is now for the military.

RZD also faces chronic shortages of drivers and other staff. 200 trains a day are cancelled because the company is short of 2,500 drivers and about 3,000 locomotive crew members. Low wages and poor working conditions mean that many have left to join the better-paid army. Locomotives are also increasingly in short supply. Not enough are being produced to replace those being retired. In January-April 2025, the production of mainline electric and diesel locomotives fell by 13 and 6% respectively, despite orders from Putin to increase production. The shortage of workers and locomotives has meant that 300,000 wagons – a fifth of RZD's entire fleet – have gone out of use. Entire freight trains have been idled for months. Thousands of new wagons have accumulated at manufacturers, unwanted on the network. Although RZD is investing heavily, much of the money has reportedly been stolen or spent on the wrong things. The spending spree has been accompanied by record increases in freight tariffs, which has pushed more cargoes onto the roads.

Two fatal bridge collapses in 24 hours have highlighted the shoddy state of Russia's railway infrastructure. Despite a recent record level of investment, much of the money has been stolen by corrupt contractors and Russian Railways officials. The company spent an eighth of its entire investment budget for 2024 buying a skyscraper in Moscow to use as its new headquarters. This has left it short of funds to spend on vital needs elsewhere, such as building new locomotives. RZD's problems are forecast to get worse in coming years, even if the war ends, sanctions are lifted and the Russian economy begins to recover. It may have to dismantle some routes, sell off assets or raise tariffs again if it is to be able to cover essential needs. /end

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NO AIR DEFENSE IN RUSSIA: LIPETSK, YELETS PLANTS STRUCK AGAIN ​

One of Putin's objectives was to demilitarize Ukraine. Ukraine has decided to adjust the plan and demilitarize Russia. Russians are not enjoying this

I love Anna's Vlog. All she does is talk but it's so informative.

 
HisArpy said:
As I said, Putin knows he's in a position of power. He doesn't have to yield. He will eventually win regardless of what Ukraine does, with or without US/world support. The ONLY way that doesn't happen is WWIII.

Trump's biggest flaw in his plan is that it mirrors Chamberlain's Appeasement Policy attempt with Germany. However, unlike Chamberlain, Trump has the US military to back him up. I'm not sure Putin is taking that into account.
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HisArpyyyyyyy. Putin's already lost the war. His problem is, the minute he puts it on hold he's dead. He has to keep fighting.

Europe is now seeing this as the defense of Europe against Russian imperialism. Fr the EU, it's no longer about the defense of Ukraone. It's about the defenseof Europe.

The Sleeping Giant is awakening.

 

NOW or NEVER... Ukraine’s BEST Chance to WIN the WAR Has Arrived​

Interesting take. Worth a listen
- Confiscate Russian assets to pay for the war
- Co-production deals
- Russia's economy is fragile - decouple Europe from Russia's oil and gas
- Pull China away from Russia

 
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The Collapse of Russia's Influence in the Caucasus

An entire political re-alignment is going on between Azerbaijan, Armenia and Turkey

Russia just revealed how fragile its grip on the South Caucasus has become. After a crisis in Yekaterinburg exposed deep vulnerabilities, Azerbaijan seized the moment to deliver a decisive blow, dramatically reshaping the region’s geopolitical map—and pushing Moscow further to the sidelines.

And Russia never lets influence slip like this unless the situation is truly dire.

So in this video, I break down the shocking decline of Russian power in the Caucasus, Azerbaijan’s bold moves backed by Turkey, and what the emerging Zanguzur Corridor means for the Kremlin’s waning authority. From humiliating diplomatic setbacks to the risk of total isolation, Russia’s once-dominant regional role is fading fast. But is this the start of a bigger collapse—or just another strategic recalibration

 

Is Russia's Military COLLAPSING Under Pressure in Ukraine?​

Ukraine is fighting assymetrically, and Russia is dancing to Ukraine's tune. Ukraine’s military strategy—precision HIMARS strikes, drone attacks, and mobile counteroffensives—is systematically dismantling Russia’s conventional forces and blocking Moscow’s hopes for a drawn-out war of attrition. As Russia’s economy collapses under runaway inflation, ruble devaluation, and defense production failures, Ukraine is escalating strikes on logistics hubs, fuel depots, and command centers—shattering Russian morale. Pfarrer and Smart break down these battlefield dynamics, showing how Ukraine is transforming the war’s tempo to outpace and cripple a decaying Russian military machine.

Russia’s military is unraveling under Ukraine’s new strategy, suffering catastrophic battlefield losses while capturing only strategically insignificant territory often ceded by Ukrainian forces. As this collapse accelerates, Russia’s economy is plunging into crisis—soaring inflation, ruble devaluation, and defense industry failures fueling political instability in Moscow.Every day, new verified videos prove the Russian Army is cracking:
  • Russian soldiers surrendering en masse, including in the Sumy region.
  • Units openly mutinying against their commanders.
  • Troops abandoning positions in a war they no longer believe they can win.
Such a shame we have a criminal traitor in the White House who has decided to side with the genocidal maniac in Moscow, rather than with western civilization.

 
ChloeTzang said:
HisArpyyyyyyy. Putin's already lost the war. His problem is, the minute he puts it on hold he's dead. He has to keep fighting.

Europe is now seeing this as the defense of Europe against Russian imperialism. Fr the EU, it's no longer about the defense of Ukraone. It's about the defenseof Europe.

The Sleeping Giant is awakening.

Click to expand...

This is like saying Europe had already lost to Germany in 1942.
 
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