Rightguide
Prof Triggernometry
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- Feb 7, 2017
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May 29, 2025
As Stephen Miller pointed out, Budget Reconciliation only allows changes to mandatory program spending like Medicaid. It isn’t an appropriations bill. What Republicans are trying to do with this measure is cut some taxes and peel back the huge enrollments in Medicaid the Biden people engineered the last few years. He further points out that CBO projections of big spending increases are dishonest, as they come from simply extending current tax rates and assuming the current levels of appropriation increases, even though appropriations bills are not in this legislation.
One thing he didn’t mention in the bill, but will be the deciding factor, is the debt-ceiling extension provision. You may remember earlier this year Chuck Schumer broke ranks and helped Republicans pass a debt ceiling increase. This current one will expire sometime between August and September. And it will have to pass, but now they only need 50 votes in the Senate this time because of reconciliation.
Schumer ruefully explained to his colleagues last time, there is really no stopping a President getting his way in this kind of showdown. This is the not-so-secret weapon. If we go past the debt limit final date, the President decides what bills get paid and what don’t, because we only have our current revenues, which are about 70% of what we are spending. Pres. Trump, of course, will want to pay the regular bondholders of U.S. Treasury notes as they come due, so there is no default. He will also pay to keep our military up and running, and vital services- prisons, border security, air traffic control, some law enforcement, and Social Security.
Everything else would have to be shut down or reduced by around 40% until the government can borrow again. Judge Boasberg, the gang at NPR, and many others will be driving for Grub Hub until the big, beautiful bill is passed.
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2025/05/trump_s_not_so_secret_weapon.html
In three or do months.
Trump’s not-so-secret weapon
By Frank FridayAs Stephen Miller pointed out, Budget Reconciliation only allows changes to mandatory program spending like Medicaid. It isn’t an appropriations bill. What Republicans are trying to do with this measure is cut some taxes and peel back the huge enrollments in Medicaid the Biden people engineered the last few years. He further points out that CBO projections of big spending increases are dishonest, as they come from simply extending current tax rates and assuming the current levels of appropriation increases, even though appropriations bills are not in this legislation.
One thing he didn’t mention in the bill, but will be the deciding factor, is the debt-ceiling extension provision. You may remember earlier this year Chuck Schumer broke ranks and helped Republicans pass a debt ceiling increase. This current one will expire sometime between August and September. And it will have to pass, but now they only need 50 votes in the Senate this time because of reconciliation.
Schumer ruefully explained to his colleagues last time, there is really no stopping a President getting his way in this kind of showdown. This is the not-so-secret weapon. If we go past the debt limit final date, the President decides what bills get paid and what don’t, because we only have our current revenues, which are about 70% of what we are spending. Pres. Trump, of course, will want to pay the regular bondholders of U.S. Treasury notes as they come due, so there is no default. He will also pay to keep our military up and running, and vital services- prisons, border security, air traffic control, some law enforcement, and Social Security.
Everything else would have to be shut down or reduced by around 40% until the government can borrow again. Judge Boasberg, the gang at NPR, and many others will be driving for Grub Hub until the big, beautiful bill is passed.
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2025/05/trump_s_not_so_secret_weapon.html
In three or do months.
