Florida House Seat Set to Flip....

ChloeTzang

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Donald Trump's week took another bad turn as he was forced to lobby for a Republican nominee attempting to fill a seat in a solidly red Florida district left open by one of his own Cabinet appointments.

Appearing on MSNBC with host Ana Cabrera, NBC's Melanie Zanona reported that the Republican Party is having to grapple with the fact that the seat left open by Mike Waltz (FL) is in danger of flipping during the special election as support for the GOP goes into free-fall. Stefanik was dumped by Trump as his UN ambassador on Thursday with the president admitting her district is no longer a lock for his party and she needs to remain in the sharply divided House. More problematic, Zanona noted, was the possibility that the embattled Waltz may see his abandoned seat also flip due to a Trump-endorsed candidate who is flopping with voters. As she told the host, "There are some alarm bells going off inside the GOP about one of those races: Florida Sixth," she reported. "That is a seat that Trump actually won by 30 points, but GOP leadership has grown increasingly concerned in recent days and weeks because the Republican candidate there, Randy Fine, he's just been massively outraised by his Democratic opponent."

"He was late to get on the airwaves, and leadership just really believes that he hasn't been taking his campaign that seriously," she continued. "Now, there has been an 11th hour effort to really revive his campaign, including Donald Trump doing a tele-town hall for Randy Fine last night. But it's still a bad look for Republicans, and it appears that that is one of the reasons why Trump's frustration over this race has really bled into his decision about Elise Stefanik."

Randy Fine was hand-picked by Trump and it seems like he somehow thought he could just cruise in to a safe seat. A top adviser to Trump reached out directly to state Sen. Randy Fine, with a message that he needed to get his house in order and get on the airwaves, a White House source told CNN. And some Republican leaders were even more blunt. House GOP campaign chief Rep. Richard Hudson and House Majority Whip Tom Emmer each separately told Fine to “get his sh*t together,” according to two GOP sources working closely on the race. Now, weeks later, Republicans are bracing for a closer-than-expected result Tuesday in a deep-red US House district in Florida, where their nominee has been significantly outraised and is at risk of falling far short of the president’s November performance in the district. Ahead of the vote, Republicans are rushing to level-set expectations and bolster Fine’s campaign, including with a tele-rally featuring Trump set for Thursday evening. Both parties agree that Fine remains poised to win the special election for the seat, which became vacant when the president tapped former Rep. Mike Waltz to be his national security adviser. Waltz won reelection in November by 33 points.

But Democrat Josh Weil, a teacher, has outraised Fine nearly 10-to-1 and run a much more aggressive campaign, tying Fine to the Elon Musk-run Department of Government Efficiency and potential cuts to Medicaid and Social Security.

At the root of Republican concerns has been the strong fundraising by the Democratic candidates. In the 6th District, Weil has outraised Fine by about $9.5 million to about $1 million, and outspent him by about $8.2 million to just $895,000. And Weil has had almost no outside help. Fine reported only $93,000 in cash as of March 13 on his pre-election FEC filing, revealing a severely depleted war chest.

Be interesting to see how this actually pans out. Maybe a warning shot that some of Trump's actions, the one's he DIDN'T campaign on, like being Putin's cock-sucking buddy, are startig to backfire on him, as well they should.

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/poli...S&cvid=2c7fa50208814fd49ab2ca435599f3f4&ei=14
 
If the MAGATs control the count like they did in 2024, chucking out all those 'ineligible' blue votes, the result will be the same.
 
Remember, Harris spent a billion bux and still lost.
The above answer to the post below, highlights why you're a shitty lawyer, if even one at all.

At the root of Republican concerns has been the strong fundraising by the Democratic candidates. In the 6th District, Weil has outraised Fine by about $9.5 million to about $1 million, and outspent him by about $8.2 million to just $895,000. And Weil has had almost no outside help. Fine reported only $93,000 in cash as of March 13 on his pre-election FEC filing, revealing a severely depleted war chest.
The points not about spending Arpy, but hey, my guess is you "like" loosing.
 
Remember, Harris spent a billion bux and still lost.

I'm kind of thinking the discrepancy here in the fund raising is the indicator. We know Harris's billion bux was probably indirectly looted from USAID via NGO's and ActBlue, that seems pretty obviously the source of a major chunk of Democrat funding back then, but Weil seems to have raised it locally, altho it is hard to tell. Roll on the voting day.....
 
I'm kind of thinking the discrepancy here in the fund raising is the indicator. We know Harris's billion bux was probably indirectly looted from USAID via NGO's and ActBlue, that seems pretty obviously the source of a major chunk of Democrat funding back then, but Weil seems to have raised it locally, altho it is hard to tell. Roll on the voting day.....
Well you get it, poor @HisArpy is lost in the weeds someplace reminiscing about Harris.
 
We know Harris's billion bux was probably indirectly looted from USAID via NGO's and ActBlue, that seems pretty obviously the source of a major chunk of Democrat funding back then

🙄

Chloe “Chicongo” Tzang should be criminally charged for slanderous unsubstantiated comments like that.

That is some dangerous gaslighting / propaganda which could easily trigger some unhinged ammosexual MAGAt to target members of the Democratic Party.

🤬

JFC

SAD!!!
 
Donald Trump's week took another bad turn as he was forced to lobby for a Republican nominee attempting to fill a seat in a solidly red Florida district left open by one of his own Cabinet appointments.

Appearing on MSNBC with host Ana Cabrera, NBC's Melanie Zanona reported that the Republican Party is having to grapple with the fact that the seat left open by Mike Waltz (FL) is in danger of flipping during the special election as support for the GOP goes into free-fall. Stefanik was dumped by Trump as his UN ambassador on Thursday with the president admitting her district is no longer a lock for his party and she needs to remain in the sharply divided House. More problematic, Zanona noted, was the possibility that the embattled Waltz may see his abandoned seat also flip due to a Trump-endorsed candidate who is flopping with voters. As she told the host, "There are some alarm bells going off inside the GOP about one of those races: Florida Sixth," she reported. "That is a seat that Trump actually won by 30 points, but GOP leadership has grown increasingly concerned in recent days and weeks because the Republican candidate there, Randy Fine, he's just been massively outraised by his Democratic opponent."

"He was late to get on the airwaves, and leadership just really believes that he hasn't been taking his campaign that seriously," she continued. "Now, there has been an 11th hour effort to really revive his campaign, including Donald Trump doing a tele-town hall for Randy Fine last night. But it's still a bad look for Republicans, and it appears that that is one of the reasons why Trump's frustration over this race has really bled into his decision about Elise Stefanik."

Randy Fine was hand-picked by Trump and it seems like he somehow thought he could just cruise in to a safe seat. A top adviser to Trump reached out directly to state Sen. Randy Fine, with a message that he needed to get his house in order and get on the airwaves, a White House source told CNN. And some Republican leaders were even more blunt. House GOP campaign chief Rep. Richard Hudson and House Majority Whip Tom Emmer each separately told Fine to “get his sh*t together,” according to two GOP sources working closely on the race. Now, weeks later, Republicans are bracing for a closer-than-expected result Tuesday in a deep-red US House district in Florida, where their nominee has been significantly outraised and is at risk of falling far short of the president’s November performance in the district. Ahead of the vote, Republicans are rushing to level-set expectations and bolster Fine’s campaign, including with a tele-rally featuring Trump set for Thursday evening. Both parties agree that Fine remains poised to win the special election for the seat, which became vacant when the president tapped former Rep. Mike Waltz to be his national security adviser. Waltz won reelection in November by 33 points.

But Democrat Josh Weil, a teacher, has outraised Fine nearly 10-to-1 and run a much more aggressive campaign, tying Fine to the Elon Musk-run Department of Government Efficiency and potential cuts to Medicaid and Social Security.

At the root of Republican concerns has been the strong fundraising by the Democratic candidates. In the 6th District, Weil has outraised Fine by about $9.5 million to about $1 million, and outspent him by about $8.2 million to just $895,000. And Weil has had almost no outside help. Fine reported only $93,000 in cash as of March 13 on his pre-election FEC filing, revealing a severely depleted war chest.

Be interesting to see how this actually pans out. Maybe a warning shot that some of Trump's actions, the one's he DIDN'T campaign on, like being Putin's cock-sucking buddy, are startig to backfire on him, as well they should.

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/poli...S&cvid=2c7fa50208814fd49ab2ca435599f3f4&ei=14
Oh this is bad.

Out of curiousity I decide to find some polling information. What I found is kinda shocking.

"The results show Fine winning just over 48% of the vote, while Weil received just over 44%.
The poll of 403 likely voters in CD 6 was conducted on March 22. Pollsters report a 4.9% margin of error, greater than Fine’s lead."


For you mathematically challenged RWCJ, using polls from the bottom representative percentile give the most inaccurate readings. They are a predictor mostly of direction, not accuracy on the ballot casting. Given the spread on this is between the margin of error, and the fact Trump carried this by 30 points, this is very bad news indeed for Republicans....
 
The Pubs can afford to lose one or two seats -- they'll still control the House until the midterms.

The key point there is that "UNTIL" - and Trump is pissing off people like me, and right now I'm a single issue voter. Stuff like illegals and deportations and the like is important to me me, but stabbing Ukraine in the back and supporting Putin and Russia is a make or break "fuck you and the horse you rode in on and every friend you have" issue for me and I know I'm not alone. Now I also know it's NOT a significant issue for a huge number of GOP voters, but it does make me a swing voter who's swung, and if Trump and Vance keep their bullshit up there is NO chance of getting voters like me, who share that view, back. Now, there are other issues, and there are people who voted for Trump who are being impacted by the stupid things he's doing and they, too, will swing. He's just about done himself in for the mid-terms IMHO, but I guess we will wait and see.

The seat will be a good indicator. If it goes Democrat, likliehood is he'll be a lame duck after 2026, and Vance will be toast for 2028. Proving yet again that the GOP can snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

All the Democrats need to do is pick someone sane, cogent and middle of the road to run for President. Unlikely, I know, but one can hope. Or that the GOP kicks Vance out on his ass and goes for DeSantis.
 
I'm kind of thinking the discrepancy here in the fund raising is the indicator. We know Harris's billion bux was probably indirectly looted from USAID via NGO's and ActBlue, that seems pretty obviously the source of a major chunk of Democrat funding back then, but Weil seems to have raised it locally, altho it is hard to tell. Roll on the voting day.....

I'm in the camp of not trusting the narrative on this because of how wrong they were about Harris/Biden. I could be wrong but it's Florida. Not that there aren't D's in office there, but the whole thing smacks of an attempt to gin up votes and voters rather than facing reality.
 
Nah. They already tried that.
Come on. Biden was the best they could do, and Harris was a disaster in Round One. They should have gone with Tulsi. Might have lost 2020 but she'd be Prez now.

As it is, I really have no idea who the Dems can come up with who would meet that criteria. Not Harris, she's a joke.
 
Come on. Biden was the best they could do, and Harris was a disaster in Round One.
But nobody was ever more middle-of-the-road.

To win, the Dems need a leftist -- not a culture warrior, but a class warrior -- an economic leftist who only cares about fighting the plutocracy, not about identity politics.

If Bernie Sanders had been nominated in 2016, he would have beaten Trump in a landslide.
 
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They should have gone with Tulsi.
Watching Tulsi flail for two solid days under oath, forgetting to remember what she could not recall that she forgot, convinced me that Tulsi Gabbard will never win a national election under any circumstances.

Back to Florida....Republicans hold a 2:1 registration advantage in FL-6 (thats about 66%-33% Derpy) but it will be VERY interesting to see the final vote next week. This is a pure referendum on Elon Musk. I'm going to predict that the lackluster candidate Fine barely wins the seat by an anemic 51-49 percent.

Randy Fine in action...
 
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Come on. Biden was the best they could do, and Harris was a disaster in Round One. They should have gone with Tulsi. Might have lost 2020 but she'd be Prez now.

As it is, I really have no idea who the Dems can come up with who would meet that criteria. Not Harris, she's a joke.

They're going to push either Newsom or some upper midwest governor as "the guy."

They will fail because Newsom is a very visibly lying fraud and their governor choice won't be any better than Tim Waltz - inept and small minded.
 
They're going to push either Newsom or some upper midwest governor as "the guy."

They will fail because Newsom is a very visibly lying fraud and their governor choice won't be any better than Tim Waltz - inept and small minded.

Newsom has a snowflakes chance in hell. And yeah, I just cannot think of any other Dems who could step up. Nada. None. There only hope woul be a complete outsider and I can't even think of anyone else.
 
Newsom has a snowflakes chance in hell. And yeah, I just cannot think of any other Dems who could step up. Nada. None. There only hope woul be a complete outsider and I can't even think of anyone else.

There is someone. Obscure, unknown, and not really interested in being President, but he is out there.

It won't be a progressive or a liberal, he'll be a straight up old school middle of the road Democrat. He'll have a voice of reason and enough charisma to make his ideas palatable and stick. He won't be tranz or a woman or LBGT. Instead he'll be just like Trump, successful and flashy, but with a better and more sophisticated ability to speak and none of what he says he'll do will follow the progressive agenda.

Otherwise, the D's are done as a political party.
 
They're going to push either Newsom or some upper midwest governor as "the guy."

They will fail because Newsom is a very visibly lying fraud and their governor choice won't be any better than Tim Waltz - inept and small minded.
As opposed to the totally honest Trump.
 
As opposed to the totally honest Trump.

Trump isn't a Democrat and the point is that until the D's can field a "Trump-like" candidate they're not going to survive as a political party.

So hate on, because the R's are enjoying the fuck out of watching you assholes burn your own party to the ground. Hell, I've heard unsupported rumors of a Republican Praypal/Omar/AOC/Crockett/Bowman/et all fan club just to keep them front and center in the eyes of the American People.
 
But nobody was ever more middle-of-the-road.

To win, the Dems need a leftist -- not a culture warrior, but a class warrior -- an economic leftist who only cares about fighting the plutocracy, not about identity politics.

If Bernie Sanders had been nominated in 2016, he would have beaten Trump in a landslide.

Can you be an honest person and not speak of culture and class with economics? They are intertwined very deeply in this nation.
 
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