Trump does better in non-white majority areas

[renard_ruse]

While its true that the majority of voters in most non-white majority areas are not Republicans, and that a majority of voters in these areas probably don't support him, but interestingly among Republican (and crossover) primary voters, Trump generally wins in non-white majority areas, particularly in areas with large Mexican-American, Asian American, and Native American population. I haven't researched him performance in majority black areas but since he's polled better among blacks than most Republicans I would imagine the pattern holds; again I'm not saying he has majority support in these areas overall).

Clearly, there is a small but real nucleus of support among diverse communities in America for Trump and his movement. This is the opposite of what the media and political commentariat on both left and right have predicted, but totally in line with my gut feeling all along. In fact, I'm actually surprised its not been even stronger. Its underperformed what I expected, but I was right there's a natural if small nucleus of support there and that he would probably do no worse than Romney or McLame in these communities, and would probably do slightly better.

 

[renard_ruse]

For example, he won the majority of Republican primary vote among Hispanics in Nevada, he swept every county in Hawaii, won the Mariana Islands, won in majority Hispanic Congressional districts in Illinois, won most border counties in Texas including counties with over 90% Hispanic population, and has won in several Indian reservations. He even won a third of the vote among Cuban-Americans in Florida despite two popular Cuban-Americans running.

Again, not saying he's getting anywhere near majority support overall among diverse groups or in non-white majority areas, but among the Republican voters in these areas he does well.

My point is that I don't think he will do any worse than Romney or most other Republicans. Also there is a potential nucleus to build a longterm working class nationalist movement in diverse communities, which always seemed like a natural fit. These groups share many things in common with the white working class, and not that much in common with rich liberals.