This is just a scenario, but I think that it's quite plausible....the Electoral College Tie!

[SevMax2]

<a href="https://www.270towin.com/maps/42e42"><img src="https://www.270towin.com/map-images/42e42.png" width="800"></a>

Of course, a tie like this favors Trump, given the Republican edge in the House of Representatives, though they could theoretically vote for Kennedy instead iirc. In that scenario, the top three candidates are voted upon by the House for President and the top three Vice Presidential candidates by the Senate for Veep. While still an improbable scenario, there is a decent chance that this could take place. Given how narrow the GOP majority is in the House, that is also a factor to consider, but since the House votes by state delegation, it is less of a factor here than it would if individual members cast votes on their own behalf. You could even see Trump win and still get Vice-President Tim Walz instead of JD Vance, because the Senate votes separately and the Senators vote personally rather than by state delegation.

 

[YDB95]

Theoretically possible, but highly unlikely.
But yes, if it does happen, the House will undoubtedly throw it to Trump.

 

[SevMax2]

<a href="https://www.270towin.com/maps/07Xvj"><img src="https://www.270towin.com/map-images/07Xvj.png" width="800"></a>

This is a narrow Trump win scenario, in which he might well lose the popular vote, might not, but eek out a victory due to Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina going his way, while Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin go to Harris. I am inclined to suspect that she will take my former state, the Grand Canyon State, due to Gallego's edge there, and it being unlikely that many voters will back him and still vote for Trump. Plus Biden took it last time, it has a Democratic Governor and one Democratic Senator, and the two parties are competitive in the House delegation.

 

[SevMax2]

<a href="https://www.270towin.com/maps/Je4QQ"><img src="https://www.270towin.com/map-images/Je4QQ.png" width="800"></a>

This is a narrow Harris victory scenario, in which she takes Pennsylvania, but he gets Michigan, but everything else remains the same. She gets the White House 272-266. I should note that Nate Silver favors Trump, but that the very successful forecaster Allan Lichtman predicts that Harris will prevail instead. He has gotten 19 of the past 20 elections correct, which is an impressive record for sure. Again, though, these are very narrow margins, and so either way, the defeated side is not likely to acknowledge an electoral mandate for the victors. It could prove very divisive, either. A lot could ride on how Congress turned out, too, of course.

 

[JoePepsiCo]

War gaming is fun but all plans end once boots hit the beach.

 

[SevMax2]

<a href="https://www.270towin.com/maps/lrjdd"><img src="https://www.270towin.com/map-images/lrjdd.png" width="800"></a>

This is the most likely Trump victory map if he does win. Not bad for him, but no landslide and he still might lose the popular vote, even then. Not as strong as his 2016 showing, either.

 

[SevMax2]

<a href="https://www.270towin.com/maps/nLBjd"><img src="https://www.270towin.com/map-images/nLBjd.png" width="800"></a>

This is a more optimistic (from his standpoint) Trump victory map, but less plausible, if only a little. The election is probably tighter than that.

 

[SevMax2]

<a href="https://www.270towin.com/maps/pVvDv"><img src="https://www.270towin.com/map-images/pVvDv.png" width="800"></a>

This is a more optimistic Harris victory map. Note that in this one, she takes the Rust Belt, Arizona, and North Carolina, as seemed possible when she had her first "honeymoon" bounce.

 

[SevMax2]

<a href="https://www.270towin.com/maps/Aygrp"><img src="https://www.270towin.com/map-images/Aygrp.png" width="800"></a>

This is the most optimistic Harris victory, "landslide" map, where she takes even Texas in an upset. Unlikely, but still possible, given how poorly Cruz is doing in polls in the Senate race.

 

[Lazaran]

Autism and OCD are a profound liability when reading tea leaves.

And reading tea leaves is a liability to begin with.

 

[SevMax2]

<a href="https://www.270towin.com/maps/Q3VR2"><img src="https://www.270towin.com/map-images/Q3VR2.png" width="800"></a>

This is the more likely Harris victory map, the "split battlegrounds," where she gets Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and North Carolina, but he takes Pennsylvania and Georgia.

 

[AlexBailey]

A 269 - 269 EC result is possible and it could bring an absurd result.

The POTUS could be decided by the House with a narrow GOP margin.

VPOTUS could be decided by the Senate which is currently tied with Kamala Harris as the possible tie breaking vote.

It’s possible for Trump to win POTUS with Tim Walz as VP with the tie breaking vote as president of the Senate.

The balance of power in the US would be a heartbeat from chaos and could go either way at any time.

 

[SevMax2]

<a href="https://www.270towin.com/maps/kZLjZ"><img src="https://www.270towin.com/map-images/kZLjZ.png" width="800"></a>

New scenario based upon the recent Seltzer poll Iowa flip and possible MSG effect on Pennsylvania. Harris beats Trump 276-262.

 

[AlexBailey]

I propose a game where you drink every time a shift is reported in the count.

 

[ll74]

It's not going to be a tie.

 

[JoePepsiCo]

The odds are very much against it.