Republicans in decent shape to win House majority in 2022

[Counselor706]

Between the trend of midterm elections usually favoring the party that is not in the White House, a closely divided House, and a party apparatus ready to continue their expectations-exceeding 2020 strategy while Democrats rework theirs, Republicans are on track to winning back the House in 2022.

"It has the makings of what could be a good year for the Republicans when it comes to the House," said J. Miles Coleman, associate editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.

President Biden’s approval rating is around 53%, and while he is not underwater, history indicates he would need to bump that rating up by at least 10 points in order to have a shot at gaining seats. Gallup analysis found that even presidents with approval ratings of 50% during the midterm elections averaged a loss of about 14 House seats from their own party.

That would be enough to bump Republicans back into the majority. Democrats have the slimmest House majority since 1930, currently 221 seats to 210 GOP seats (four vacancies include two Republicans who died, one Democrat who joined the Biden administration, and one razor-close election with a Republican representative-elect who has yet to be seated).

Source

 

[RoryN]

"Decent"

lol

 

[oggbashan]

Someone is engaging in wishful thinking.

 

[CornusKousa]

Someone is engaging in wishful thinking.

Yea...all the "THE GOP IS DEAD!!!" idiots out there who think the GOP has been "(D)-stroyed" because they lost the WH and Senate by razor thin margins ignoring that they gained everywhere else.

It's not the landslide shut out of non-"progressive" politics you leftist are trying to pretend it is.

 

[WillJ8787]

Source

Lol... already!?

GOP memories are that short...lol!

 

[oggbashan]

Yea...all the "THE GOP IS DEAD!!!" idiots out there who think the GOP has been "(D)-stroyed" because they lost the WH and Senate by razor thin margins ignoring that they gained everywhere else.

It's not the landslide shut out of non-"progressive" politics you leftist are trying to pretend it is.

That was before the Capitol invasion. Rerun the 2020 election now and the Rs would lose bigly (or even more bigly!).

 

[colddiesel]

Considering that there are 103 bills currently before State legislatures to gerrymander boundaries and suppress non Republican votes, it is almost a certainty that the GOP should win convincingly in 2022.

The Capitol invasion will be ancient history by 2022. Dems will harvest votes, GOP will get the seats. A lot of that is due to inept work by the Dems on the ground over the last 20 years.

Dems need another 49 Stacey Abrams.

 

[CornusKousa]

That was before the Capitol invasion. Rerun the 2020 election now and the Rs would lose bigly (or even more bigly!).

I don't think so...not with Biden out to crucify the economy and put as many Americans on 1400 dollar a year welfare as possible.

 

[CornusKousa]

Considering that there are 103 bills currently before State legislatures to gerrymander boundaries and suppress non Republican votes, it is almost a certainty that the GOP should win convincingly in 2022.

The Capitol invasion will be ancient history by 2022. Dems will harvest votes, GOP will get the seats. A lot of that is due to inept work by the Dems on the ground over the last 20 years.

Dems need another 49 Stacey Abrams.

BAAAAAAAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!

Yea the DNC needs more "woke" race baiting leftist and hatred for whites/white guilt like they need a hole in the head and (D) hand in their pocket.

 

[Philthy_Phil]

They were in better shape to maintain the presidency too in 2020, according to you trumptards. How did that work out for you sore losers? Lmao

 

[Philthy_Phil]

That was before the Capitol invasion. Rerun the 2020 election now and the Rs would lose bigly (or even more bigly!).

Some are saying Bidens electoral victory was the biggest in history, never mind the landslide popular vote he won.
Must suck to be a dem right now. Lol

 

[FGB]

Hell.

Give them both houses and the Presidency and they will still either fuck it up or do nothing to help the country...again!

Someone needs to do some maintenance around here or invent flying freight and passenger trains.

 

[oggbashan]

What people are ignoring is that many decent R-voting Americans have been appaled by Trump's behaviour since the election and the Capitol invasion.

While they might baulk at voting D - some will but many will abstain.

And as for 'undecided'> Why would they support the Rs now?

How the Rs vote on Trump in the impeachment hearing will also affect how the REpublican party is seen in the future.

 

[colddiesel]

BAAAAAAAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!

Yea the DNC needs more "woke" race baiting leftist and hatred for whites/white guilt like they need a hole in the head and (D) hand in their pocket.

Abrams got the Dems in Georgia organized - she got the votes out. And that is the example for the Dems.

It is the area where the GOP have performed significantly better and if the Dems get that right it doesn't matter tuppence what people like you think of her opinions. For what it's worth I don't rate her opinions on many issues either, but she is a superb organizer. And organization = votes, and votes = seats.

Ultimately power politics is about numbers - not opinions.

 

[Philthy_Phil]

Hell.

Give them both houses and the Presidency and they will still either fuck it up or do nothing to help the country...again!

Someone needs to do some maintenance around here or invent flying freight and passenger trains.

Remind us all again of what trump accomplished in his first 2 years? What legislation was passed? Or was it all about erasing what obama did?

 

[CornusKousa]

Abrams got the Dems in Georgia organized - she got the votes out. And that is the example for the Dems.

It is the area where the GOP have performed significantly better and if the Dems get that right it doesn't matter tuppence what people like you think of her opinions. For what it's worth I don't rate her opinions on many issues either, but she is a superb organizer. And organization = votes, and votes = seats.

Ultimately power politics is about numbers - not opinions.

And they'll get what they vote for, corruption and elitism.

Can't get the numbers without the opinions though.

 

[CornusKousa]

What people are ignoring is that many decent R-voting Americans have been appaled by Trump's behaviour since the election and the Capitol invasion.

While they might baulk at voting D - some will but many will abstain.

I don't think enough to accept the federal government as their new lord and savior....made to feel guilty for being born white....give up their rights and property.

And as for 'undecided'> Why would they support the Rs now?

Because they don't want to be like California.

How the Rs vote on Trump in the impeachment hearing will also affect how the REpublican party is seen in the future.

Most importantly among their own voters.

If they vote to convict? The GOP is done, you'll see a 3rd party form and "republicans" go sit at the kids table with the Libertarians.

 

[Philthy_Phil]

Ivanka made over 260 million as an advisor to daddy. Who says crime doesn't pay?

 

[YDB95]

In the past 50 years, the president's party has gained seats in only two midterm elections: 1998, when voters were pissed off at the Republicans for impeaching Clinton over a blowjob, and 2002, when Dumbya was riding high after 9/11 and with the ramp-up to war in Iraq. In other words, yes, the Republicans will probably gain seats in 2022 unless there's some sort of traumatic event that causes a rally-around-the-flag effect, or the Republicans overplay their hand and alienate voters like they did in 1998. I certainly hope the first doesn't happen, but there's a very good chance the second will.

That said, the Republicans did NOT have an "expectations-exceeding strategy" in 2020. What they did have was Trump on the ballot, and he brought out a lot of deplorables who normally don't vote at all. As we saw in the 2018 midterms and in the Georgia senate runoffs, they don't bother coming out for other Republicans even when Trump himself begs them too. We can expect that again in 2022. I'm not saying that'll be enough to save the Dems' house majority, but I am saying they won't be able to rally Trump's base without him on the ballot.

 

[WillJ8787]

What people are ignoring is that many decent R-voting Americans have been appaled by Trump's behaviour since the election and the Capitol invasion.

While they might baulk at voting D - some will but many will abstain.

And as for 'undecided'> Why would they support the Rs now?

How the Rs vote on Trump in the impeachment hearing will also affect how the REpublican party is seen in the future.

Correct! Given how close elections have been over the last decade any party that fractures puts themselves out of contention.

Trump killed the GOP...it's dead. Can't win elections. Doh!

 

[phrodeau]

Remind us all again of what trump accomplished in his first 2 years? What legislation was passed? Or was it all about erasing what obama did?

Trump erased better than any other President in history, period!

 

[Philthy_Phil]

Trump erased better than any other President in history, period!

Looks like Biden is giving him a run for his borrowed money.

 

[KeithD]

"Decent"

lol

Yep, the Republicans quite obviously have no connection to decency at the moment. I can therefore see why the OP wants to skip ahead a couple of years rather than facing the "now."