This appears now to be the prevailing school of thought among academic economists.
Whaddaya think?
General beliefs[edit]
Although the Post-Keynesians are a diverse group, many share similar beliefs, some of which may include:- A focus on effective demand and the rejection of Say's Law. Demand creates supply, and a lack of demand will lead to underemployment and unemployment of labor and resources.[6]
- A focus on how inflation is created by distributional conflict between classes.[6]
- Free trade can harm poorer countries by not allowing them to have competitive manufacturing sectors.[6]
- Financial transactions always create an offsetting liability. There are always three parties, not two, involved in a transaction: buyer, seller, and bank. This is because all money is credit. Cash ("high-powered money") is a liability of the Federal Reserve, credit (like credit cards) is a liability of your bank, and that credit is created by loaning out against the bank's reserve of high-powered money. Some post-Keynesians add the government as the insurer and protector of transactions and property rights being a fourth party.[7]
- Rejection of "crowding out". Government spending does not crowd out monetary resources because spending "creates" more money.[7]
- Rejection of the money multiplier. Banks can loan reserves to each other or get money from the Fed's discount window, making the money multiplier a formality without much real meaning.[7]
- Rejection of equilibrium. Post-Keynesians believe the market is dynamic and rarely if ever in equilibrium; markets might be above or below equilibrium level at any given time.[7]
- Rejection of a natural level of unemployment and the natural accelerating inflation rate of unemployment.[8]
- Rejection of both the Phillips Curve and the Expectations Augmented Phillips Curve.[7][8]
- Rejection of homo economicus.[7]
- Belief that the economy should be viewed in historical time and with uncertainty of future expectations.[7]
- Importance of the credit cycle as part of the business cycle. Mostly modeled off of Hyman Minsky's "Financial Instability Hypothesis" which states that excessive credit given out "endogenously" over long periods of stability will necessarily lead to riskier investments, and therefore instability. This continues until speculators realize an asset's price is artificially inflated, causing them to sell it all at once, causing the asset price to fall to the ground. That results in what is called a "Minsky moment", and thus financial crisis.[7]
- The money supply is endogenous and is not controlled by the central bank.[9]
- Government Deficit = Private Sector Surplus. Every time the U.S. government has tried to balance the budget, there has been a subsequent recession. This is because when a government stops deficit spending, they are pulling money out of the economy that the private sector thrives on.[10][6]
Whaddaya think?