It's Getting Close; Too Close to Call?

[4est_4est_Gump]

History tends to repeat itself, and if this truism continues next month the Democrats may be in more trouble than they thought. Gallup has released their fifth biennial survey of voters, asking if they plan to “send a message to the President” with their vote, even though he is not on the ballot. The results look very similar to two other midterm contests in recent memory.

PRINCETON, NJ — Registered voters are more likely to view their choice of candidate in this year’s midterm elections as a message of opposition (32%) rather than support (20%) for President Barack Obama. That 12-percentage-point margin is similar to what Gallup measured for Obama in 2010 and George W. Bush in 2006, years in which their parties performed poorly in the midterm elections.

The Obama Factor
http://hotair.com/archives/2014/10/04/the-obama-factor-is-back-for-2014/

While it sounds like a rather obscure question to put to the layman, their track record indicates that this one is actually a fairly prognostic marker. These numbers are right in line with Bush in his sixth year (where the Democrats swept both houses) and Obama’s first midterm in 2010, which was nothing short of a tidal wave for the GOP. It also tracks with the sitting President’s popularity in each case. When the numbers are flipped the other way, such as Bush in 2002, the party controlling the White House held steady or made gains, which seems a bit easier for a president two years in than after the six year itch begins to manifest.

The other interesting nugget in the history of this survey is Bill Clinton in 1998. Not only was he at the six year mark – where people should have been tired of him – but the GOP was in the process of trying to impeach him. The guy was such a master of self-marketing, however, that his popularity remained in the 60s and the GOP wound up losing a net five seats in the House and barely holding on to what they had in the Senate.

 

[RobDownSouth]

You can tell it is gettin' close to election day when Chief TubOfLard starts posting a slew of RWCJ cut-n-pastes.
:nods:

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Angry white racist southern cracker yelling, "Get off my lawn!"




←←←←

 

[JAMESBJOHNSON]

Angry white racist southern cracker yelling, "Get off my lawn!"




←←←←

Its a right guaranteed in the Constitution.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

It's not his lawn...




←←←←

 

[miles]

It's not his lawn...




←←←←

Trailer parks don't have lawns.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Just lots of white trash...

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Senate: GOP +7 Pick-Ups


RCP (not to be confused with RHCP)

 

[ms_ann_thrope]

Good thing we now have instant replay.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

And here's your instant reply.

 

[Que]

Didn't I just spend a day and a half arguing with the LWCJ that, no he is not on the ballot, but yes HE is about to lose the Senate and that it will be chalked up to him as HIS loss?

See that Politico piece about how the LWCJ are looking forward to losing the senate so they can blame the administrations obstructionism on the opposition?

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Didn't I just spend a day and a half arguing with the LWCJ that, no he is not on the ballot, but yes HE is about to lose the Senate and that it will be chalked up to him as HIS loss?

See that Politico piece about how the LWCJ are looking forward to losing the senate so they can blame the administrations obstructionism on the opposition?

It is going to put the great negotiator in a tougher spot when bipartisan legislation begins hitting his desk...



... blaming is a lot harder than justification.

 

[Ishmael]

Didn't I just spend a day and a half arguing with the LWCJ that, no he is not on the ballot, but yes HE is about to lose the Senate and that it will be chalked up to him as HIS loss?

See that Politico piece about how the LWCJ are looking forward to losing the senate so they can blame the administrations obstructionism on the opposition?

Of course that's how they'll try to affix the blame.

The problem for the Obama administration is that they will be demonstrating a very short view of history, if not a total ignorance thereof. Clinton vetoed two instances of the "Welfare Reform Act" prior to finally signing it. The reason he caved in was due to public pressure, it was obvious exactly who was 'stonewalling' the legislation. It is true that Clinton was facing a re-election campaign coming up so he did have a damn good political reason to finally sign the act into law and that scenario does not apply to Obama. But the fact remains that the stonewallee is going to get the blame no matter what and for all of Obama's rhetorical skill while on his teleprompter 'A' game, nothing is going to save him from being the focus of the obstructionism.

Ishmael

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Another tactic might be to sign the legislation and at the same time sign a slew of Presidential statements that gut it and would take years to wind their way through the court system while he runs around decrying who his bipartisan outreach is being met by hostility and lawsuits.

To paraphrase:

That's nice Eric, but I win! (You lost you big dummy!)

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

The next time the usual suspects start going on about how far to the right Presidet Obama is,



Hit them with this.

I opened the front door to water some plants on the front stairs when my neighbor Chaim Tsedrait stopped pacing back and forth, approached me, and started crying. Chaim is what would be a Democrat ward heeler in any city other than the one-party and no Congressional representation Washington D.C. His walls are covered with pictures of himself as a kid shaking hands with both Eleanor and Franklin Roosevelt -- the inspiration for his lifelong fealty to the party.

“Why are you so agitated today?” I asked.

“It’s obvious Obama fooled us,” he answered.

“How’s that?” I asked, trying to hide my surprise.

"He’s really a right-winger who is destroying everything we built.” He cried out in anguish.

I invited him in for a drink and as I was pouring us both some vodka on the rocks, he continued his sad plaint without any interruption from me.

“We had persuaded most Americans that the federal government was their friend and savior. It could be counted on to provide efficiently needed services that we wanted. With Roosevelt and then his successors and the civil rights movement, we instilled a disdain of federalism in people -- taught them to believe big government, not local control, was better, and local control led inexorably to lynching and incompetence that was so bad it endangered everyone’s rights and livelihood. Even on k-12 education we got most people believing that if we left curricula to local school boards our kids would be ignoramuses who believed unscientific nonsense.

“Obama’s upset the applecart. He pushes unworkable Rube Goldberg contraptions midwifed through Congress by those crazies Reid and Pelosi. When it doesn’t work, he jerry rigs it in ways that make it only worse and more patently partisan.

“His people tell outrageous lies that only morons could believe -- like simultaneous accidental destruction of IRS records under subpoena, and that the murders of our ambassador and his defenders were because of a video no one saw or cared about, a lie shamefully repeated over the caskets of the murdered men. This, after on his own -- with no Congressional approval -- he upset the order in Libya which was hardly a threat, and destabilized it. Then he supported the Moslem Brotherhood in Egypt until they were finally thrown out. He is critical of and dismissive of our allies -- like Israel -- while cozying up fairly publicly to Iran,

“Admitting he doesn’t bother much about intelligence briefings so that ISIS takes over much of Iraq and Syria before he realizes it ,and claiming over and again that all the important news he gets is from the newspapers.

“He wasted billions on green energy projects to nip global warming which there hasn’t been any of in 18 years. My physics professor son laughs at me because of what he calls my party’s obeisance to the ‘Sky Dragon’.

“His State Department spokesmen sound like Valley Girls as they spout incredible defenses, posing with idiotic sorority girl type hash tags as the world starts to disintegrate on his watch.

“His Attorney General stirs up racial division and abets vote fraud. He clearly was involved in handing off weapons to Mexican gangs and then stonewalled and ignored Congress when it investigated this incompetence.

“The economy stinks and all his wealth redistribution policies are only making the middle class poorer.

“But as bad as that is, the incompetence and inattention is what’s killing us Democrats. I mean, putting in charge of the Secret Service someone with no law enforcement experience who thinks the White House team should make the presidential residence more like Disneyland!

“Allowing open borders so people, many with substantial needs and rare diseases, stream in and are relocated all around the country, bankrupting local governments and spreading illness and death! Then he fails to cut off travel from Ebola-stricken countries and asks us to have faith in the CDC whose head is best known for advocating taxes on soft drinks and wiping trans fats off the menus of New York City.”

He was shouting so loudly I was afraid for his welfare. I pushed his vodka closer to him so he might take a sip.

“Why do you think he’s a ‘right-winger’?” I asked as soon as the redness had faded from his face.

“C’mon. I wasn’t born yesterday. All this stuff has to be on purpose. He wants to drive the party into the ground and destroy everything we started with the New Deal. This week he proved it in spades,” Chaim added, his voice rising again. “We’re in a tough fight to hang on to the Senate and incumbents are distancing themselves from him. So what does he do? He makes a speech saying the mid-term elections are a referendum on his policies. Senator Roberts has already done a thirty-second ad linking his opponent to Obama’s hated policies.

"It’s an inexpensive 30-second ad that is very devastating to us and you can bet that similar ones will run in every state electing a senator this year, with the Obama policies named in each one of them being those most hated by the state’s voters.

“So you think Congressional democrats should join Republicans in impeaching him and removing him from office?” I asked.

“Are you kidding? That would be racist! “

Clarice Feldman

http://americanthinker.com/2014/10/...new_deal_and_great_society.html#ixzz3FGlTCKDB

 

[Ishmael]

The next time the usual suspects start going on about how far to the right Presidet Obama is,



Hit them with this.


Clarice Feldman

http://americanthinker.com/2014/10/...new_deal_and_great_society.html#ixzz3FGlTCKDB

OK Dat's funny.

Ishmael

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

I thought so. She is a very creative writer with a memory that rivals Cheyenne's...

 

[Busybody]

whatever happens in 2014 means shit

it will revert back to CuntClinton 2016, and ITS SEXIST for 8 yrs and she is worse

 

[RobDownSouth]

The next time the usual suspects start going on about how far to the right Presidet Obama is,



Hit them with this.


Clarice Feldman

http://americanthinker.com/2014/10/...new_deal_and_great_society.html#ixzz3FGlTCKDB

or not...
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v665/Astrocloud/MuricanThinkur_zps5e5b5898.gif

 

[Busybody]

you simpletons clearly have the intellect of boiled lettuce

it takes BUNNY to clue you in

the BEST thing for DUMZ is to lose control of the Senate

this way they can and will propose all sorts of degenerate bills

Amnesty....free shit to illegals

Student loan forgiveness

Free 76 Birth control pills per woman (regardless of age or gender) per day

$25 per hr min wage

etc etc

and the Repoz will vote down or not bring it up and in 2016 they will scream

REPOZ ARE WEEMEN HATERS, BABY KILLERS ad RACIST



2014 is about 2016

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

You're probably not wrong.



They will see a clear opportunity to enrage and rally the base to Hillary...

 

[Busybody]

you simpletons clearly have the intellect of boiled lettuce

it takes BUNNY to clue you in

the BEST thing for DUMZ is to lose control of the Senate

this way they can and will propose all sorts of degenerate bills

Amnesty....free shit to illegals

Student loan forgiveness

Free 76 Birth control pills per woman (regardless of age or gender) per day

$25 per hr min wage

etc etc

and the Repoz will vote down or not bring it up and in 2016 they will scream

REPOZ ARE WEEMEN HATERS, BABY KILLERS ad RACIST



2014 is about 2016

an increase of 50% for VETS, REPOZ will knock it down to 49% and the DUMZ will scream, THE REPOZ WANT DEAD VETS

all sorts of shit for GAZE.....so they can scream the REPOZ are HOMOPHOBIC

a bill to prevent boots on ground in ME, and since its inevitable there will have to be, the DUMZ will scream....WAR MONGERS and CHICKEN HAWKS at the REPOZ

and as dumb as the REPOZ are, they will have no response,

 

[Busybody]

You're probably not wrong.



They will see a clear opportunity to enrage and rally the base to Hillary...

IM

NEVER

FUCKING

WRONG

EVER!

 

[Busybody]

when Obamacare and ALL THE COSTS associated with it....(the ones kicked down the road) and all the waivers pass and PEOPLE will really be HURT

REPOZ will try to repeal or MODIFY and DUMZ will scream

REPOZ ARE FAT CATS AND WANT DEAD PEOPLE



we know the script

 

[Busybody]

they will propose all economy killing Globall Bullshit crap

REPOZ will stop it

DUMZ will scream, REPOZ want DIRTY AIR cause its good for RICH PEOPLE