How does Iran emerge from this clusterfuck as a stable state without some major financial windfall???
ā¢ The Iranian economy was collapsing BEFORE DonOldās WAR of choice. Now Iran has a whole new set of problems.
ā¢ If the Iranians open the strait without any toll on ships or reparations payments, their economy will definitely collapse. (And oil revenues will NOT save them, because the price of oil will PLUMMET if/when the strait opens.)
ā¢ DonOld CANNOT offer Iran ANYTHING in the way of financial benefit for Iran opening the strait, becauseā¦ obviouslyā¦ (See: DonOld bashing previous negotiations from Democrats that resulted in Iran getting FAR LESS than the numbers were talking about that would be required to salvage the Iranian economy after āOperation Epic Failureā.
ā¢ Even with a "peace" agreement that sees Iran get some compensation, there is STILL the reality of a fractured Iranian leadership and the potential for civil war in Iran (and terror attacks on the U.S., Israel, and Iranās neighbors) as various factions in Iran vie for control. And any peaceful resolution of the crisis would mean a deal was struck with the moderate Iranian leaders, leaving the radicals / hardliners on the outside (NOT a recipe for a lasting peace).
Bottom line:
The maths do NOT math for a REALISTIC peaceful resolution to this crisis (WAR OF CHOICE), imho.
Does anyone have a different calculus that provides a REALISTIC solution???
We. Told. Them. So.
ā¢ The Iranian economy was collapsing BEFORE DonOldās WAR of choice. Now Iran has a whole new set of problems.
ā¢ If the Iranians open the strait without any toll on ships or reparations payments, their economy will definitely collapse. (And oil revenues will NOT save them, because the price of oil will PLUMMET if/when the strait opens.)
ā¢ DonOld CANNOT offer Iran ANYTHING in the way of financial benefit for Iran opening the strait, becauseā¦ obviouslyā¦ (See: DonOld bashing previous negotiations from Democrats that resulted in Iran getting FAR LESS than the numbers were talking about that would be required to salvage the Iranian economy after āOperation Epic Failureā.
ā¢ Even with a "peace" agreement that sees Iran get some compensation, there is STILL the reality of a fractured Iranian leadership and the potential for civil war in Iran (and terror attacks on the U.S., Israel, and Iranās neighbors) as various factions in Iran vie for control. And any peaceful resolution of the crisis would mean a deal was struck with the moderate Iranian leaders, leaving the radicals / hardliners on the outside (NOT a recipe for a lasting peace).
Bottom line:
The maths do NOT math for a REALISTIC peaceful resolution to this crisis (WAR OF CHOICE), imho.
Does anyone have a different calculus that provides a REALISTIC solution???
We. Told. Them. So.
SebastianDolt 
