I am so tired of this god damned statistic

Spinaroonie

LOOK WHAT I FOUND!
Joined
Jul 29, 2000
Posts
17,721
1/2 of marriages end in divorce.

Why do they say this? Because somebody one year looked and saw something like this:

2000:
Marriages: 100000
Divorces: 50000
OMG THE NUMBER IS HALF THEFROE HALF OF ALL MARrAIGES ARE ENDING IN DIVORCE

never mind that there were millions and millions more marriages before the new 100k or so marriages.
 
Do you really think that's how they calculate those stats? LOL

They use prospective cohort studies - follow a population through time. Believe me, the methodology is a bit more complex than you give it credit for.
 
I've heard two different stats on this: 1) the divorce rate is 50% and 2) 50% of marriages don't last 3 years.

Not sure how they would measure #1, unless they figure out the total marriages at any one moment in time and then figure out how many of those end up divorced by the end of the year.

#2 is pretty easy to measure as long as you keep track of marriages.

Either way... I believe the divorce rate is high, no matter what the actual number is... and that the chances of staying in a marriage longer than 5 years are against you.

PBW
 
P. B. Walker said:
that the chances of staying in a marriage longer than 5 years are against you.

Figures this would be the one time I actually beat the odds.
 
Lasher said:
Figures this would be the one time I actually beat the odds.


I would actually like to see the stats for when divorces occur. example, XX% of divorces occur in year 1. XX% of divorces occur year in year 2. Etc.

And you'd think this would be very easy to collect, since all marriages have to go thru the state, same with divorces. It should be all computerized... just gotta plug the numbers into a excel spreadsheet. LOL

PBW
 
It gets a lot easier to deal with once you realize that people as a whole, and especially in groups (even small groups), are really fucking stupid.
 
And 1/10 people is gay. I'm aware the the number is REALLY rising. But I doubt it's 10 per cent yet.
 
Star of Penumbra said:
It gets a lot easier to deal with once you realize that people as a whole, and especially in groups (even small groups), are really fucking stupid.

As always...BEWARE of stupid people in large groups.:)
 
I moderate an e-mail list, and we had some creep join and start posting all these racist "statistics" (in quotes because he pulled most of them out of his ass) about crime rates. Anyway, I did some research and in my travels across the web I found some interesting sites.

Divorce Statistics

All the federal statistics you could ever want

Bureau of Justice statistics

Have fun digging through that if you're interested. I'm really not in the mood to dig today. :D
 
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