How Global Warming Really Works

[4est_4est_Gump]

Tell it to the Philippines, you utter idiot.

Hey, stupid.

Do you know how many hurricanes hit the fucking Philippines?

This wasn't even one of the top five moron even though the eco-Socialist press did everything it could to make it sound like some out of context monster storm when in fact it was one of the rare events of the hurricane season past, one which was supposed to be dominated by this radical eco-terrorist weather. On a more personal level, you have proven year after year after year that you are willing to parrot whatever lines you are dictated by the Socialists who want to destroy progress in the name of Utopia, and if Obamacare is any example of what part of their dream they can deliver, all we can expect are nightmares...

 

[phrodeau]

Let's start with something simple. Climate IS change. To state the obvious is no particular statement at all.

And now that warming is off the table temporarily the entire concept of Anthropogenic Global Warming has morphed into Anthropogenic Global Climate Change. The proponents don't know why, or care it seems, it just is and because it 'just is' we must obviously do something about it.

But the problem with 'doing something' about something which you have no knowledge is that you are just as likely to do something that will make it worse than anything that might make it better.

It is also a truism that making tons of money (ripped from the pockets of the taxpayer) to fix that something will, over time, be used by the political class to fund pet projects totally unrelated to the original purpose of the tax to begin with. Or as P J O'Rourke put it, "Giving a politician more money and power is like giving your teenage son the keys to the family car and a bottle of whiskey."

Ishmael

And you, Mister Basement Scientist, how can you look at the evidence and conclude that "global warming is temporarily off the table"? Are your blinkers tied onto you, or do you put them on yourself?

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/indicators/

 

[phrodeau]

Hey, stupid.

Do you know how many hurricanes hit the fucking Philippines?

This wasn't even one of the top five moron even though the eco-Socialist press did everything it could to make it sound like some out of context monster storm when in fact it was one of the rare events of the hurricane season past, one which was supposed to be dominated by this radical eco-terrorist weather. On a more personal level, you have proven year after year after year that you are willing to parrot whatever lines you are dictated by the Socialists who want to destroy progress in the name of Utopia, and if Obamacare is any example of what part of their dream they can deliver, all we can expect are nightmares...

Here, do your fucking homework already.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/extremes/cei/graph/6/01-12

 

[RobDownSouth]

I (and others like Ishmael) called it correctly in 2000 and we're still correct.

Declarin' victory prematurely again, Chief?

Tsk.

 

[thør]

http://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/82000/82604/lst_neo_20131203-20131210.jpg

Early December.

Red states and blue states.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Here, do your fucking homework already.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/extremes/cei/graph/6/01-12

*chuckle*

One century of data is weather patterns, not climate.

You prove my contention that you are weak on Science and susceptible to politics.

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Now, how was the hurricane season?

 

[phrodeau]

*chuckle*

One century of data is weather patterns, not climate.

You prove my contention that you are weak on Science and susceptible to politics.

You prove my contention that you are an idiot. Tell us all the importance of one season of data from one hemisphere.

 

[tactful]

Bovine flatulence, damn cows.

 

[KingOrfeo]

Looks like it might be even worse than we thought.

 

[Ishmael]

*chuckle*

One century of data is weather patterns, not climate.

You prove my contention that you are weak on Science and susceptible to politics.

Susceptible is an understatement.

Ishmael

 

[trysail]

http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2014/01/clip_image022.jpg

By Bob Tisdale

Even before the study of human-induced global warming became fashionable, tax dollars had funded a major portion of that research. Government organizations continue to supply the vast majority of the moneys for those research efforts. Yet with the tens of billions of dollars expended over the past couple of decades, there has been little increase in our understanding of what the future might bring.

The recent 5th Assessment Report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) proclaims that global surface temperatures are projected to increase through the year 2100, that sea levels will continue to rise, that in some regions rainfall might increase and in others it will decrease, etc. But those were the same basic messages with the 4th Assessment Report in 2007, and the 3rd Assessment Report in 2001, and the 2nd Assessment Report in 1995. So we’ve received little benefit for all of those tax dollars spent over the past few decades.

Those predictions of the future are based on simulations of climate using numerical computer programs known as climate models. Past and projected factors that are alleged to impact climate on Earth (known as forcings) serve as inputs to the models. Then the models, based on more assumptions made by programmers, crunch a lot of numbers and regurgitate outputs that are representations of what the future might hold in store, with the monumental supposition that the models properly simulate climate.

But it is well known that climate models are flawed, that they do not properly simulate climate metrics that are of interest to policymakers and the public—like surface temperatures, precipitation, sea ice area. And in at least one respect the current generation of climate models performs more poorly than the earlier generation. That is, climate models are getting worse, not better, at simulating Earth’s climate.

With that in mind, the following are sample questions that policymakers should be asking climate scientists and agencies who receive government funding for research into human-induced global warming—along with information to support the questions...
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- read the full article Questions Policymakers Should Be Asking Climate Scientists Who Receive Government Funding (from Watts Up With That)​

 

[trysail]

ht tp://talkingabouttheweather.wordpress.com/2014/01/03/this-is-whats-happening/






This Is What's Happening

by Harold Ambler
http://talkingabouttheweather.wordpress.com/2014/01/03/this-is-whats-happening/

This is what’s happening: Global sea ice just had its best year, basically a full calendar year with a zero-anomaly, since 2004. Scientists told us that global warming was accelerating at the poles, through the polar amplification process. Part of that, they said (after consulting global circulation models), was that both Arctic and Antarctic sea ice would diminish. When Antarctic sea ice stubbornly refused to shrink as predicted, scientists scrambled for an ex-post-facto explication. This was a little like a magician whose rabbit has jumped off the stage explaining to the audience that this was part of the show.

This is what’s happening: The rabbit’s not coming back on stage.

This is what’s happening: NASA’s Walt Meier and the Climatic Research Unit’s Phil Jones both explained that only the naive are interested in global sea ice.

“A plot of global sea ice is just not informative or useful,” said Meier.

“Adding the Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice extents doesn’t make that much sense as the two regions are at opposite ends of the world and the seasons are opposite,” said Jones.

This is what’s happening: Meier and Jones are two of the foremost experts on climate in 2014.

This is what’s happening: With the Sun nearly as high as it gets in Antarctica at this very moment, Antarctic sea ice is nearly 1.5 million square kilometers above average, reflecting copious sunlight back to space and protecting goodly swaths of the sea from absorbing solar radiation. At the same time, with the Sun below the horizon during the seemingly endless winter night, Arctic sea is slightly more than 0.5 million square kilometers below average.

Meier again: “It is scientifically incorrect to directly compare the Arctic [to the Antarctic].”

This is what’s happening: Every time I read Meier’s words I’m more amazed than I was before.

This is what’s happening: In addition to increasing sea ice skirting the southernmost continent, the South Pole itself has been cooling for decades.

This is what’s happening: Russian solar physicists’ predictions of the unfolding solar downturn were significantly more accurate than NASA’s solar physicists.

This is what’s happening: Russian solar physicists suggested that the solar downturn would have important cooling effects on Earth’s ocean-atmosphere system, a.k.a. our climate.

This is what’s happening: Cairo just had its first snow in more than a century.

This is what’s happening: The coldest location in the Lower 48 United States, International Falls, MN, recently set a record for the greatest number of days below minus 30 degrees Fahrenheit in the month of December: 8. During the same month, the temperature rose above freezing for a total of 3 hours.

This is what’s happening: International Falls started the New Year the way it ended the old one, with record cold, with a minimum temp of minus 42 Fahrenheit on January 2.

This is what’s happening: Southern Hemisphere sea ice set an all-time record for December 31.

This is what’s happening: A Russian ship, Akademik Shokalskiy, that routinely travels in the waters encircling Antarctica became stuck in sea ice on December 24 and is still stuck 10 days later. The ship’s passengers — a combination of scientists, journalists, and tourists (with plenty of crossover among groups) — have been rescued by helicopter, at significant peril and expense.

This is what’s happening: As the passengers grew increasingly restless, and likely nervous, and increasingly interested in the chances of their ship getting free of the ice, they reached out to a prestigious oceanographic institute, namely Scripps, in San Diego, California. Scripp’s staff reached out to a San Diego TV station’s meteorologists for help, one of whom, John Coleman (founding meteorologist of The Weather Channel), reached out to Anthony Watts, the most famous climate blogger in the world, who just happened to have been following the possibly doomed group’s doings for the better part of a week. Watts and fellow skeptic meteorologist and blogger Joe D’Aleo promptly gathered information about the winds that either would or wouldn’t be freeing the Akademik Shokalskiy anytime soon and sent it to the imperiled scientists.

This is what’s happening: According to satellites, Earth’s temperature hasn’t increased in 17 years.

This is what’s happening: So far, the snowiest Northern Hemisphere winter on record was last winter.

This is what’s happening: Thunder Bay, Canada, just “shattered” its previous record for coldest temp on December 31, according to the Canadian meteorology service (part of Environment Canada). The previous record low temperature for the date: -28F. The new record low temperature: -38F.

This is what’s happening. Iceland recorded it’s lowest ever temperature for the month of May in 2013: 0F.

This is what’s happening: the cold snap about to take place in the American midwest will get headlines. And one person, one exceedingly bright person, waking up on Tuesday morning and trying without success to get their car to start will walk back in the house and press buy the only book by an American journalist about the possibility of Sun-induced global cooling.



ht tp://talkingabouttheweather.wordpress.com/2014/01/03/this-is-whats-happening/

http://talkingabouttheweather.wordpress.com/2014/01/03/this-is-whats-happening/

 

[4est_4est_Gump]

Headline:


We Were Right! The Climate IS Changing

 

[miles]

This is a much bigger threat.

 

[trysail]

Published February 20, 1969

http://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2014/01/screenhunter_1606-jan-12-12-49.gif


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[trysail]

That's one helluva correlation between CO2 ( ___ ) and temperature.


http://www.woodfortrees.org/graph/hadcrut3gl/from:1997.5/trend/plot/gistemp/from:2001.5/trend/plot/rss/from:1996.65/trend/plot/wti/from:2000.9/trend/plot/hadsst3gl/from:2000.9/trend/plot/hadcrut4gl/from:2000.9/trend/plot/uah/from:2004.75/trend/plot/esrl-co2/from:1997/normalise:0.5


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[sigh]

ht tp://talkingabouttheweather.wordpress.com/2014/01/03/this-is-whats-happening/






This Is What's Happening

by Harold Ambler
http://talkingabouttheweather.wordpress.com/2014/01/03/this-is-whats-happening/

You could have timed this better. AJ just told phrodeau that 100 years of data merely reflected weather patterns, not climate, but then your article used its entire second half pointing to current weather reports. Too bad, really. It was an interesting read until then.

Emotional appeals to the uneducated masses aren't limited to progressives, it seems.

 

[trysail]

You could have timed this better. AJ just told phrodeau that 100 years of data merely reflected weather patterns, not climate, but then your article used its entire second half pointing to current weather reports. Too bad, really. It was an interesting read until then.

Emotional appeals to the uneducated masses aren't limited to progressives, it seems.

The author, Harold Ambler, is an interesting fellow. A Dartmouth/Columbia graduate, he is a former writer for The New Yorker. I don't know whether his book Don't Sell Your Coat ( http://www.amazon.com/Dont-Sell-Your-Coat-Surprising/dp/0615569048 ) has been a commercial success or not but it's cogent and well-written. He's not a scientist but is conversant enough with the field to be familiar with the logical and evidentiary inconsistencies that riddle the CAGW conjecture.


He's got a great interview with climatologist Dr. John Christy posted on his website: http://talkingabouttheweather.wordpress.com/

 

[Peregrinator]

http://disinfo.com/2014/02/insiders-story-global-attack-climate-science/

 

[trysail]

The World's Oldest Continuous Instrumental Temperature Record

Central England Temperature (1659- )
maintained by the Met Office
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/

http://www.climate4you.com/images/CentralEnglandTempSince1659%201100pixel.gif


http://www.climate4you.com/images/CentralEnglandTempSince1659 1100pixel.gif

ht tp://www.climate4you.com/images/CentralEnglandTempSince1659%201100pixel.gif

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[KingOrfeo]

The ultimate guide to shutting down climate trolls.

 

[trysail]

The ultimate guide to shutting down climate trolls.

The upper panel shows the air temperature at the summit of the Greenland Ice Sheet, reconstructed by Alley (2000) from GISP2 ice core data. The time scale shows years before modern time. The rapid temperature rise to the left indicate the final part of the even more pronounced temperature increase following the last ice age. The temperature scale at the right hand side of the upper panel suggests a very approximate comparison with the global average temperature (see comment below). The GISP2 record ends around 1855, and the two graphs therefore ends here. There has since been an temperature increase to about the same level as during the Medieval Warm Period and to about 395 ppm for CO2. The small reddish bar in the lower right indicate the extension of the longest global temperature record (since 1850), based on meteorological observations (HadCRUT3). The lower panel shows the past atmospheric CO2 content, as found from the EPICA Dome C Ice Core in the Antarctic (Monnin et al. 2004). The Dome C atmospheric CO2 record ends in the year 1777.



http://www.climate4you.com/images/GISP2%20TemperatureSince10700%20BP%20with%20CO2%20from%20EPICA%20DomeC.gif

http://www.climate4you.com/images/GISP2 TemperatureSince10700 BP with CO2 from EPICA DomeC.gif

http://www.climate4you.com/


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[phrodeau]

So, global temps haven't returned to the pre-1970's level yet? Oh dear.

 

[trysail]

The idea that any of the weather we are seeing is in any significant way due to humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions verges on irrationality.



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