GOP Bolton Super PAC Poll Shows Shift

[ll74]

Trumpies, talk amongst yourselves...

Key findings from the poll include:

Joe Biden has rebounded and now narrowly leads Donald Trump in a general election match up (44%-43%) after trailing in the September poll. Both Independent and Undecided voters now dislike Trump more than Biden. With Independent voters Biden is Favorable 43%, Unfavorable 50% a net negative of -7 points. With Independents Trump is Favorable 36, Unfavorable 56, a net negative of -20 points. With undecided voters Biden’s net negative is -28 points, and Trump’s net negative is -42 points.

While we saw minor improvements for Trump in ballot matchups against potential GOP primary opponents (from 26% in September to 36% now), he remains 10 points lower than he was in April and July. In all, 64% of Republican primary voters do not support Trump. Ron DeSantis leads among the other possible candidates (19.5%). Liz Cheney, polled for the first time, was at 6%. 22% were undecided.

Edit: forgot source - https://www.boltonsuperpac.com/poll_011922-2.php

 

[BabyBoomer50s]

I don’t dispute the findings that show Trump having high unfavorable ratings and think it would be a mistake for the GOP to nominate Trump in 2024. That said, there are a couple of reasons I don’t take this poll too seriously. For one, it’s sponsors (Bolton, Sacaramucci, Kelly) don’t like Trump, so there’s inherent bias. Second, I don’t know which polling firm conducted the poll and the methodology they used. But the bigger reason I don’t pay much attention to it is I’m not sure anyone should assume either Biden or Trump will be on the 2024 general election ballot.

 

[ll74]

I don’t dispute the findings that show Trump having high unfavorable ratings and think it would be a mistake for the GOP to nominate Trump in 2024. That said, there are a couple of reasons I don’t take this poll too seriously. For one, it’s sponsors (Bolton, Sacaramucci, Kelly) don’t like Trump, so there’s inherent bias. Second, I don’t know which polling firm conducted the poll and the methodology they used. But the bigger reason I don’t pay much attention to it is I’m not sure anyone should assume either Biden or Trump will be on the 2024 general election ballot.

Agreed. That's why I added that it was a super PAC and specifically someone who has had a beef with Trump in the past

 

[ll74]

That being said, I was interested more in the contrast to many threads in the forum to show an alternative perspective from the party.

 

[pecksniff]

Going to be an interesting primary season.

 

[YDB95]

Keep in mind that 60% of GOP primary voters voted against Trump in 2016. So by that measure he's only slightly weaker now than then. The only question is, will the non-Trump vote be split enough ways for him to slip through again?

 

[ll74]

Keep in mind that 60% of GOP primary voters voted against Trump in 2016. So by that measure he's only slightly weaker now than then. The only question is, will the non-Trump vote be split enough ways for him to slip through again?

That's a valid point. For such a small part of the Republican party, they sure swing their cocks around loudly

 

[pecksniff]

Going to be an interesting primary season.

In the Chinese sense, that is.

 

[YDB95]

That's a valid point. For such a small part of the Republican party, they sure swing their cocks around loudly

And they're only going to be louder next time around. But my best guess at this point is:
1. Trump probably won't run again. I think he's just fundraising for himself (totally illegal, but you know how much he cares about that)
2. If he does run, he'll probably have fewer primary opponents this time around. Too many Republicans are terrified of running afoul of his cult.
3. While his current standing in the polls is only a bit lower than in 2016, that 4% could make a big difference, especially if DeathSentence is able to consolidate the anti-vaxxer vote.

On the other hand, no one - not even DeathSentence - can rally the deplorables like Trump can. So if he does run, who knows.

 

[Philthy_Phil]

Going to be an interesting primary season.

No it isnt.

 

[JohnnySavage]

That's a valid point. For such a small part of the Republican party, they sure swing their cocks around loudly

Squeaky wheel gets the grease.

 

[ll74]

Squeaky wheel gets the grease.

I wish many on the left fully grasped that concept.