WHAT I’VE NOTICED IS THAT THERE’S ALWAYS AN EXCUSE: After U.S. economy slows to crawl, analysts hope the reason is the season.
What IowaHawk has noticed is that the same people who are telling us that the economic slowdown is because of the extraordinarily cold winter are also telling us that this is the hottest year on record.
“The Soviets blamed the weather for 75 consecutive poor wheat harvests; it seems churlish to deny this excuse to the Obama administration after just 7 years.”
http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user3303/imageroot/2015/05/20150505_macro_0.jpgSince the end of QE3 (and the end of the government's fiscal year), US macroeconomic data has disappointed and weakened on an unprecedented scale. With April data not showing the post-weather bounce that every sell-side economist is hoping for, the absolute level of macro weakness was only marginally weaker in the past in the aftermath of the Lehman crisis.
This is very important to keep in mind: "And there's one rub. The surprise shortfall in the U.S. doesn't necessarily mean the world's largest economy is in dire straights. It's just falling short of some perhaps overly elevated expectations."