Democrat Primaries and Cauci

[Conager]

Tonight's in New Hampshire shows the Democrats are less politically suicidal than advertised. At the moment the Sanders/Warren openly socialist wing has a little over one third of New Hampshire votes.

Buttigieg like when he ran for mayor as a closeted gay man, is running as a closeted socialist. Given his heritage, he is probably a more committed socialist than multi-millionaire Bernie, but his stated aim is more along the lines of the Obama ACA model of designed-to-fail only to be rescued by more government intervention incrementalism. He us the more dangerous type, but nothing we haven't seen the slow creep on for decades. The ratchet effect is real.

I don't know if they have finished counting Iowa but if mayor Pete really did win there, it's pretty clear with New Hampshire that that was a let's not to vote for Bernie vote. Klobuchar's surge probably came out of Buttigieg's hide. Without her draw, he would have beaten Bernie again.

Bernie has no chance. There's really no telling where the anybody but Bernie vote is going to go but it's 2 to 1..

 

[PaxNurgle]

I don't care, just...anyone but Bernie. 's all I care. Not that he wouldn't be better than what we have now but...I don't think most people would agree (that's the problem) and Bernie probably wouldn't really be that much better.

 

[Conager]

Looking at national polling, Bernie and Warren are ahead 40/30 of Biden and the Billionaire. Nationally, Buttigieg and Klobuchar are at about 14%. The non-Bernie vote is only a little ahead of the Pro-commie vote. Lots of big, blue States. Not sure to what extent of any of those states are winner-take-all.

 

[Conager]

Sanders wins with 88% of precincts reporting.

Looks like New Hampshire will have all of the votes counted tonight.

I can't see Elizabeth Warren needing that private jet she's been using; maybe they can load up a bunch of precinct workers from New Hampshire and send them over to Iowa with some abacuses to help them finish up that count.

 

[Saint_Ann]

I can see it now. Bernie wins it; heads to the convention; Hillary pops in and declares herself Queen. Dems go berserk for a a savior is born.

Bernie's head explodes.

 

[Curmudgeonly]

A brokered convention would be entertaining.

 

[Conager]

A brokered convention would be entertaining.

Didn't the DNC just change their rules on superdelegates? I'm not sure if that makes a brokered convention more likely or less likely. I can't imagine the Bernie Bros going along with it if Bernie loses in a brokered convention.

 

[Curmudgeonly]

Takes a couple of thousand to win. Superdelegates cannot vote in the first round of a contested primary any longer, but their impact was mostly on momentum. They represent about 15% of the delegates.