A Near-Death Experience for the Whole Planet!

JazzManJim

On the Downbeat
Joined
Sep 12, 2001
Posts
27,360
I'm not a big alarmist, but this story did make me shiver.

On June 14th - just a few days ago - an asteroid passed inside the orbit of the moon and to withink 120,000 kilometers of the Earth.

That's not usually a big deal. Our planet is struck with debris from space regularly - thousand of strikes a day. In fact, six asteroids have passed inside the Moon's orbit in the time we've had our eyes trained on space. What makes this one particularly shiver-inducing was its size. At approximately 100 meters across, this asteroid (designated 2002 MN) was the largest object to get this close to us.

The good news is that this asteroid isn't considered large enough to do any world-wrecking damage. It is large enough, though, to ahve done damage on at least the scale of the Tunguska explosion in the early 1900s, which would easily have devastated a major metropolitan area or two if it had hit.

I know. You're not really bothered by this fact. Here's another good wrinkle for you. We didn't see 2002 MN until three days after its closest approach to the Earth. In other words, had 2002 MN hit us, we wouldn't have known a thing until the explosion.

Scientists are universal in their opinion that we will be struck by an object large enough to cause some real damage. Right now, there isn't another potential collision expected until the year 2050. Unfortunately, as with 2002 MN, there's a lot out there that we know nothing about, and what makes it a bit worse is that we're not even looking! Though they are running a good program NASA isn't looking for anything smaller than 1 KM across (in other words, a potential Earth-buster) and there's nothing at all in the Southern Hemisphere looking for such objects. At least three other non-governmental groups have their own searches going, but they're pretty hamstrung by either lack of funding or the inability to use the really big telescopes.

So what's the answer? Is this even worrying about? No, I don't think it'll keep me awake at night, but I'd feel a lot better if we were actually looking for things which could whack us from orbit and identify them in enough time to do something about them (which has also been bandied about as an excellent side-use for a orbital ballistic missle defense system).
 
oh great...

just what i need...

something else to worry about

:D
 
That's freaky!

I say we all boycott the sporting industry, forcing them to give half of each players salary to Nasa!

Two birds, one stone.
 
Call me cynical, but I can't believe that they didn't spot this thing coming. I can believe that they wouldn't tell us. Can you imagine the chaos if the authorities announced "Next tuesday half a continent is going to be wiped out." ?

Last time I watched a documentary about these things they said hitting it with missiles was a non-starter. It would just break it up and instead of getting hit by one lump earth would get hit by a dozen lumps spreading the devestation across a wider area.
 
What's the answer?

Frequent frequent masturbation.


What was the question again?

:D
 
android1966 said:
Call me cynical, but I can't believe that they didn't spot this thing coming. I can believe that they wouldn't tell us. Can you imagine the chaos if the authorities announced "Next tuesday half a continent is going to be wiped out." ?

Last time I watched a documentary about these things they said hitting it with missiles was a non-starter. It would just break it up and instead of getting hit by one lump earth would get hit by a dozen lumps spreading the devestation across a wider area.

Well, considering they weren't looking for it, it's not so unbelieveable that they didn't see it. Remember, NASA is only looking for objects more than 1 KM across. This object was far under that threshold and, at that size, you just don't "happen" to see those types of objects.

As far as breaking it up, it's easy with a missile. You load a large enough warhead and the fragments hit the Earth with no reall effect, like thousands of obejcts do every day. That's an extablished thought in the scientific community already.
 
we cant see anything if it comes from the direction of the sun ... i wouldnt worry about it this wasnt the first near miss ... and it wont be the last ... near missing and hitting i hope are vastly different things :)
 
There are millions of bodies like that just waiting for a collision. That is one of the great things about astronomy. With simple equipment, time, and patience, amateur astronomers can and do make important contributions by "discovering" bodies like this.

If you want to help the world, teach a child to look at the sky...
 
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