Medium risk hurricane season

kendo1

Coinneach Odhar Fiosaiche
Joined
Feb 26, 2005
Posts
9,383
August 3rd 2006
Department of Atmospheric Science
Colorado State University

POST 1-AUGUST PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS:



1) Entire U.S. coastline - 73% (average for last century is 52%)



2) U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula Florida - 64% (average for last century is 31%)



3) Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 26% (average for last century is 30%)



4) Above-average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean

Ken
 
Hmmmmmm,

Medium risk Hurricane Season?

If you've been through one you wouldn't say this.

I honestly can't say which one was worse. Hurricane Bob was exciting. The first time I dealt with a storm like this, and while the winds didn't impress me the people driving during the storm and needing help did with their stupidity.

Frances hung around for more than a while and trashed the area. It was kind of spooky, but mainly from the way people reacted.

Jean rocked my world with her winds and how quickly she blew through. Being without power for so long afterwards kind of sucked, as did the reaction of some of my neighbors.

Wilma was an eye opener. She blasted through and wrecked a lot of houses in my neighborhood. She also taught me how some people, the rich especially, react to losing things like power. (My landlord, who informed me that I was forbidden from putting up panels on the house I was renting even as he closed his shutters, came by after the storm to inspect for damage. When he saw I had a generator, as well as our grill and a camp stove, he demanded I hand over the generator to supply power to his place. He seemed to think that because he hadn't put in supplies or bought a generator we would provide him and his family not only with power but food and water.)

People I worked with laughed when I commented that the worst part wasn't the storm itself but the aftermath. They commented that we are now civilised, then were shocked by the aftermath of Katrina.

While I hope we do not get hit this year, (I would like a season to harden my new place for the storms, ) I am ready. I have a generator, I have food and other supplies.

One storm is enough to destroy the so called civilisation in any community.

Cat
 
SeaCat said:
Hmmmmmm,

Medium risk Hurricane Season?
If you've been through one you wouldn't say this.

I honestly can't say which one was worse. Hurricane Bob was exciting. The first time I dealt with a storm like this, and while the winds didn't impress me the people driving during the storm and needing help did with their stupidity.

Frances hung around for more than a while and trashed the area. It was kind of spooky, but mainly from the way people reacted.

Jean rocked my world with her winds and how quickly she blew through. Being without power for so long afterwards kind of sucked, as did the reaction of some of my neighbors.

Wilma was an eye opener. She blasted through and wrecked a lot of houses in my neighborhood. She also taught me how some people, the rich especially, react to losing things like power. (My landlord, who informed me that I was forbidden from putting up panels on the house I was renting even as he closed his shutters, came by after the storm to inspect for damage. When he saw I had a generator, as well as our grill and a camp stove, he demanded I hand over the generator to supply power to his place. He seemed to think that because he hadn't put in supplies or bought a generator we would provide him and his family not only with power but food and water.)

People I worked with laughed when I commented that the worst part wasn't the storm itself but the aftermath. They commented that we are now civilised, then were shocked by the aftermath of Katrina.

While I hope we do not get hit this year, (I would like a season to harden my new place for the storms, ) I am ready. I have a generator, I have food and other supplies.

One storm is enough to destroy the so called civilisation in any community.

Cat

That is so true!

My family and I had the misfortune to be visiting relatives about a mile from Charlotte Harbor the year hurricane Charley ripped through there and, yes, the aftermath is much worse than the storm itself.

The heat was absolutely killer, and you could tell just by glancing down the street that there would be no power coming on anytime soon. The water didn't work, the phones were out, etc. We had a little mishap involving some of the mis-placed critters, and the one hospital that remained open was so crowded and messed up that they were literally treating people on the sidewalk outside. I might add that it was also most difficult to even *get* to that hospital when there were loads of debris in the road and no street signs.

Trying to sleep at night was impossible, and with the entire neighborhood blacked out there were gun shots going off all the time. We figured it was home owners trying to scare off looters. One fellow complained that someone had snuck up and stolen all of the gasoline out of his generator and all of his cars too.

Some of those people turned into animals, and "survival of the fittest" was what it was all about. We stayed there for about a week afterwards to try to help with the cleanup and such, but when we left I can honsetly say that I had NEVER been so glad to leave someplace in all of my life!
 
nyte_byrd said:
That is so true!

My family and I had the misfortune to be visiting relatives about a mile from Charlotte Harbor the year hurricane Charley ripped through there and, yes, the aftermath is much worse than the storm itself.

The heat was absolutely killer, and you could tell just by glancing down the street that there would be no power coming on anytime soon. The water didn't work, the phones were out, etc. We had a little mishap involving some of the mis-placed critters, and the one hospital that remained open was so crowded and messed up that they were literally treating people on the sidewalk outside. I might add that it was also most difficult to even *get* to that hospital when there were loads of debris in the road and no street signs.

Trying to sleep at night was impossible, and with the entire neighborhood blacked out there were gun shots going off all the time. We figured it was home owners trying to scare off looters. One fellow complained that someone had snuck up and stolen all of the gasoline out of his generator and all of his cars too.

Some of those people turned into animals, and "survival of the fittest" was what it was all about. We stayed there for about a week afterwards to try to help with the cleanup and such, but when we left I can honsetly say that I had NEVER been so glad to leave someplace in all of my life!

It is sad to see and think about but your last comment is so true. "Survival of the Fittest" seems to come to the fore in cases like this. Even when it is not warranted. Notice my comments about my landlord.

After Hurricane Bob on Cape Cod there were several people who seemed to think they could either hook into or just take my fathers generator. (A built in model.) They were rapidly discouraged by the sight of firepower. After the storm and it's recovery my father and myself were called into court to face charges of Assault with a Deadly Weapon. (It seems two of those who wanted the generator were off duty Police Officers.) The charges were dropped.

Cat
 
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