COVID-19 by the Numbers/Facts

[bigsly]

Since I'm unaware of of any other source with the global reach of the WHO, I'm going to keep posting its numbers covering the disease everywhere but the US, despite misgivings about how bias and corruption the WHO obviously has might affect its accuracy.

World Health Organization
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Situation Report-59
Data as reported by national authorities by 10AM CET 19March 2020
- total (new) cases in last 24 hours

Globally
209,839 confirmed (16,556)
8,778 deaths (828)

Western Pacific Region
92,333 confirmed (488)
3,377 deaths (20)

European Region
87,108 confirmed (10,221)
4,084 deaths (591)

South-East Asia Region
657 confirmed (119)
23 deaths (14)

Eastern Mediterranean Region
19,518confirmed (1,430)
1,161deaths (150)

Region of the Americas
9,144 confirmed (4,166)
119 deaths (50)

African Region
367confirmed (132)
7deaths (3)


I'll be using a new source for US numbers, CoronaVirus API. It's an open source/decentralized website effort that employs a web scraping bot to gather information from relevant government sources of all 50 states and DC.
- govt websites last crawled @ 2020-03-20 05:51:28 UTC

USA
94,976 tested
11,885 positive
161 deaths

WA is exponentially far and away the most fatal state with 74 deaths so far.
CA = 16
GA = 10
LA = 10
- no other states are reporting deaths in double-digit numbers.

[scroll down the website to see all individual State numbers]

 

[Fuzzy1975]

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Updated live as results come in:

US 16,162 cases 220 deaths.

Currently the curve is not flatting in the US.

 

[icanhelp1]

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Updated live as results come in:

US 16,162 cases 220 deaths.

Currently the curve is not flatting in the US.

The curve was not predicted to flatten out, just the opposite.

 

[Wrong Element]

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Updated live as results come in:

US 16,162 cases 220 deaths.

Currently the curve is not flatting in the US.

I would guess we're at least two weeks away from signs that exponential growth is starting to slow, and maybe another 2-4 weeks after that before the number of new daily cases has peaked. There's not a quick fix.

[Edit to say that it's really hard to know how quickly the disease is spreading because testing is so haphazard. It's not a coincidence that New York and Washington are simply testing more than the other states.]

 

[Fuzzy1975]

The curve was not predicted to flatten out, just the opposite.

Right, and you realize that is "not a good thing"??? don't you?

 

[Fuzzy1975]

I would guess we're at least two weeks away from signs that exponential growth is starting to slow, and maybe another 2-4 weeks after that before the number of new daily cases has peaked. There's not a quick fix.

[Edit to say that it's really hard to know how quickly the disease is spreading because testing is so haphazard. It's not a coincidence that New York and Washington are simply testing more than the other states.]

Given the rule of thumb from other countries, for every known case you can add in by a factor of ten, the unknown cases. Also that rule applies to countries that have tested their citizens in a more robust manner than the the US has.

I think you guys are up the creek without a paddle. Not to say Canada is much further downstream...

 

[HisArpy]

Right, and you realize that is "not a good thing"??? don't you?

???

You do realize that for a curve to "flatten out" it has to rise first; don't you?

 

[Fuzzy1975]

???

You do realize that for a curve to "flatten out" it has to rise first; don't you?

all I can say about your understand on this.

 

[HisArpy]

all I can say about your understand on this.

All I can say is STOP PANICKING.

It's like you somehow NEED for there to be really bad horrible awful things going on in order to justify your political ideals.

Just STOP.

The US has 320 million people. 16 thousand cases with 225 deaths is NOTHING in comparison with the population numbers.

Yes I know, I'm a coldhearted bastard because I don't have the feelz for your gramma who is about to die from the pandemic caused by Trump's supposed ineptness in handling the crisis. Deal with it because that's your problem not mine/ours/the rest of society.

You need to get real. The fantasy you've built up is shit and it's hurting everyone's brain.

 

[sygn]

627 deaths in one day.
Jesus. It's a massacre.

And it's not just because Italy has an aged popullation, I think it's also about how habitats are built .
People generally live in more proximity to each other in Europe, I think Europe will be much harder hit than US, Canada and Australia.

 

[Fuzzy1975]

All I can say is STOP PANICKING.

Fools panic, I am not panicked, nor am I about to panic.

Stop denying that COVID-19 is the fucking flu, it is not!! When people say to stop moving about, fucking do it!!! Your out and about posting pictures of all the other dumb fucks who should be inside unless there is a good reason...

If you are advised to stay in unless it is required for a very damn good reason DO IT!!

The ONLY defense right now is to not spread this around, the whole of the US of A has tested less than a Province of Canada. We at least have an idea of the scope of the infection in our citizens. The US doesn't have a fucking clue...and guess what, the numbers are starting to show that.

The US is now up to 18,121 cases, up from US 16,162 cases in not even four hours ...think about staying inside and self isolating when people who are a lot smarter than you, tell you too!!!!

 

[icanhelp1]

All I can say is STOP PANICKING.

It's like you somehow NEED for there to be really bad horrible awful things going on in order to justify your political ideals.

Just STOP.

The US has 320 million people. 16 thousand cases with 225 deaths is NOTHING in comparison with the population numbers.

Yes I know, I'm a coldhearted bastard because I don't have the feelz for your gramma who is about to die from the pandemic caused by Trump's supposed ineptness in handling the crisis. Deal with it because that's your problem not mine/ours/the rest of society.

You need to get real. The fantasy you've built up is shit and it's hurting everyone's brain.

Which equates to a 1.3% mortality rate not 3.7% or 4.5%.

Testing is going to increase and positive cases will also increase.

My local hospital which is a huge complex in western MA tested 377:

so far 17 pos: 147 neg: waiting on 213 results: 0 mortality

 

[HisArpy]

Fools panic, I am not panicked, nor am I about to panic.

Stop denying that COVID-19 is the fucking flu, it is not!! When people say to stop moving about, fucking do it!!! Your out and about posting pictures of all the other dumb fucks who should be inside unless there is a good reason...

If you are advised to stay in unless it is required for a very damn good reason DO IT!!

The ONLY defense right now is to not spread this around, the whole of the US of A has tested less than a Province of Canada. We at least have an idea of the scope of the infection in our citizens. The US doesn't have a fucking clue...and guess what, the numbers are starting to show that.

The US is now up to 18,121 cases, up from US 16,162 cases in not even four hours ...think about staying inside and self isolating when people who are a lot smarter than you, tell you too!!!!

Jesus Christ on a fucking cracker, listen to yourself.

I'm "essential services". I'm good to go out there, even if Martial Law is imposed. As long as the courts are open for business, no one can stop me.

Meanwhile you're panicking about me "moving about" but not the police/fire/ambulance/pizza delivery guy.

Yes, you're panicking. Quit. For your own good.

 

[HisArpy]

Which equates to a 1.3% mortality rate not 3.7% or 4.5%.

Testing is going to increase and positive cases will also increase.

My local hospital which is a huge complex in western MA tested 377:

so far 17 pos: 147 neg: waiting on 213 results: 0 mortality

The numbers are going to way way up in a very short timespan. That doesn't mean it's spreading faster, only that we're counting and totaling who has it.

Last I heard, California has 400-odd cases with 17 deaths. Out of 40 million.

 

[icanhelp1]

The numbers are going to way way up in a very short timespan. That doesn't mean it's spreading faster, only that we're counting and totaling who has it.

Last I heard, California has 400-odd cases with 17 deaths. Out of 40 million.

That's right! As test kits become available there will be a spike in the numbers. Right now they're testing symptomatic cases. I just think that the gloom and doom projections by Fuzzy-nuts and Butters is an overreaction. The numbers won't be clear till perhaps after this pandemic passes. What bugs me is the condescending manner they preach at you. I have a science degree and when I read some of the postings here I can't believe how they react to a fluid situations where the data sets are incomplete at best. The way the markets reacted is bizarre and smart people will make a killing.

 

[Fuzzy1975]

Jesus Christ on a fucking cracker, listen to yourself.

I'm "essential services". I'm good to go out there, even if Martial Law is imposed. As long as the courts are open for business, no one can stop me.

Meanwhile you're panicking about me "moving about" but not the police/fire/ambulance/pizza delivery guy.

Yes, you're panicking. Quit. For your own good.

You really don't understand this do you?

Ok last try, first off COVID-19 is more contagious than regular influenza.

Second it is spread by human interactions, which allow the water droplet to pass from one infected human to another person who is not infected. Such as someone accidental spiting while talking, or sneezing or coughing on another person.

Other ways it can also be passed is by an infected human coming in contact with an infected water droplet left by a sneeze or a cough or from saliva or mucus left on a surface. For example it has been shown that the virus can survive outside the body on plastic or metal for 72 hours.

Third, unlike Influenza, there is no vaccine, nor even a therapeutic drug regiment that is known to be effective in combating the effects COVID-19 virus.

So far there is no evidence that some people are immune to COVID-19, and are only carriers.

Last the virus is out in the United States, in numbers of infected individualises with no concept of the percentage of infection, due to a lack of testing.

So given all of the above, how do you prevent the spread of such a virus?

Surely you with all you supposed vast intelligence can figure that out?

You can't inoculate against the virus, (and will not have one ready for the earliest at 6 months).
There are no proven drugs which ward off the virus. Humans have no natural immunity to the virus.

So then Mr Smart Lawyer Type Guy, what do you do to slow down the spread?

( You can place your answer here)


18,755 case's of infection, with now 237 deaths. Almost 600 cases in an hour...

Hmmm yep, best to be out and about, for no particular reason, head off to those bars, restaurants and crowded shopping malls, just like Devin Nunas says...

 

[TalkToMeInSB]

The numbers are going to way way up in a very short timespan. That doesn't mean it's spreading faster, only that we're counting and totaling who has it.

Last I heard, California has 400-odd cases with 17 deaths. Out of 40 million.

This fucker spreads fast people. It took the world 3 months to 12 100,00 case, and only 12 days to get the second 100K. Granted, we're testing more but this is not your 'normal flu'...

 

[Fuzzy1975]

That's right! As test kits become available there will be a spike in the numbers.

There is going to be a spike in the number due to the increase in test is irrelevant now, it is too late! The virus is now communal, it has moved out of the traceable segment of the pandemic.

The US didn't just miss the boat on early testing...when you got to the dock, the testing boat had already sailed over the horizon....

You say you have a science degree?

Well you have a mingling population, with a virus that is extremely contagious. The virus also has no vaccine, or drug treatment. Humans have zero immunity. It is fatal in 3 % ( debatable number, agreed) of the population. Due to the 10-30 day stay in hospital, for a seriously infect person, and that hospitals will be over run with seriously ill people needing ICU beds, what should we be doing about it, to prevent the unabated circulation of the virus through the population?

Hmmmm?

Infected 18,769....and climbing

 

[butters]

artificially subdued case numbers due to lack of testing, designed to keep t looking like he's on top of it all, and now the tests are starting to get rolled out (weeks behind the critical time-period) the evidential hint of just how much this virus is in the community is showing. weeks of people contracting the disease and not realising it or being misdiagnosed, no retroactive testing being done, either. unless people keep away from other people as much as possible right now, its rise will be exponential.

the link i gave in rae's covid19 thread about louisina conservatives in a wealthier neighbourhood shows just how disconnected from the reality of this virus too many are---relying on the likes of fox news, limbaugh, and trump for their 'reality check' till it finally starts infecting them. one woman's 45 year old, fit as a horse husband is on a ventilator and now she and her facebook buddies are suddenly realising it IS true, not 'just another dem hoax designed to damage trump' and their reality has taken a 180% turnabout.

as for icanthelpit, if he has a science degree it's obviously about as valuable as harpy's lawyer papers

There is going to be a spike in the number due to the increase in test is irrelevant now, it is too late! The virus is now communal, it has moved out of the traceable segment of the pandemic.

The US didn't just miss the boat on early testing...when you got to the dock, the testing boat had already sailed over the horizon....

You say you have a science degree?

Well you have a mingling population, with a virus that is extremely contagious. The virus also has no vaccine, or drug treatment. Humans have zero immunity. It is fatal in 3 % ( debatable number, agreed) of the population. Due to the 10-30 day stay in hospital, for a seriously infect person, and that hospitals will be over run with seriously ill people needing ICU beds, what should we be doing about it, to prevent the unabated circulation of the virus through the population?

Hmmmm?

Infected 18,769....and climbing

 

[Conager]

You really don't understand this do you?

Ok last try, first off COVID-19 is more contagious than regular influenza.

Second it is spread by human interactions, which allow the water droplet to pass from one infected human to another person who is not infected. Such as someone accidental spiting while talking, or sneezing or coughing on another person.

Other ways it can also be passed is by an infected human coming in contact with an infected water droplet left by a sneeze or a cough or from saliva or mucus left on a surface. For example it has been shown that the virus can survive outside the body on plastic or metal for 72 hours.

Third, unlike Influenza, there is no vaccine, nor even a therapeutic drug regiment that is known to be effective in combating the effects COVID-19 virus.

So far there is no evidence that some people are immune to COVID-19, and are only carriers.

Last the virus is out in the United States, in numbers of infected individualises with no concept of the percentage of infection, due to a lack of testing.

So given all of the above, how do you prevent the spread of such a virus?

Surely you with all you supposed vast intelligence can figure that out?

You can't inoculate against the virus, (and will not have one ready for the earliest at 6 months).
There are no proven drugs which ward off the virus. Humans have no natural immunity to the virus.

So then Mr Smart Lawyer Type Guy, what do you do to slow down the spread?

( You can place your answer here)


18,755 case's of infection, with now 237 deaths. Almost 600 cases in an hour...

Hmmm yep, best to be out and about, for no particular reason, head off to those bars, restaurants and crowded shopping malls, just like Devin Nunas says...

You don't get to pull numbers and comparisons out of your ass and then preface it with "given that. . ."

You need to take a basic class in mathematics there's a big difference between a constant and a variable. You're treating unknown variables as constants.

 

[LibsKnowSoMuch]

Infected does not = contracted

It does mean they can infect others, however for various reasons, it does not look like the US is trending like Italy. See google, multiple stories.

If deaths double in the US over the next 6 weeks, they’d be up to a (whopping) 25,400, barely H1N1 territory, which garnered little attention by comparison.

Proof will be in the pudding, but looking at the available data suggests the massive overreaction and economic disruption unwarranted.

(Though the power to order people to stay in gives Democrat Governors hard ons).

 

[neakman]

YOU CAN SAY WHAT YOU WANT BUT USE ACCURATE CDC NUMBERS FIRST...


18,755 case's of infection, with now 237 deaths. Almost 600 cases in an hour...

Hmmm yep, best to be out and about, for no particular reason, head off to those bars, restaurants and crowded shopping malls, just like Devin Nunas says...

Updated March 20, 2020

This page will be updated regularly at noon Mondays through Fridays. Numbers close out at 4 p.m. the day before reporting.

CDC is responding to an outbreak of respiratory illness caused by a novel (new) coronavirus. The outbreak first started in Wuhan, China, but cases have been identified in a growing number of other locations internationally, including the United States. In addition to CDC, many public health laboratories are now testing for the virus that causes COVID-19.

COVID-19: U.S. at a Glance*
Total cases: 15,219
Total deaths: 201
Jurisdictions reporting cases: 54 (50 states, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Guam, and US Virgin Islands)
* Data include both confirmed and presumptive positive cases of COVID-19 reported to CDC or tested at CDC since January 21, 2020, with the exception of testing results for persons repatriated to the United States from Wuhan, China and Japan. State and local public health departments are now testing and publicly reporting their cases. In the event of a discrepancy between CDC cases and cases reported by state and local public health officials, data reported by states should be considered the most up to date

 

[Fuzzy1975]

You don't get to pull numbers and comparisons out of your ass and then preface it with "given that. . ."

You need to take a basic class in mathematics there's a big difference between a constant and a variable. You're treating unknown variables as constants.

No I am posting the incoming results of cases of infection and death with COVID-19 in the United States.

currently at 18,845 cases, and 237 deaths.

 

[icanhelp1]

There is going to be a spike in the number due to the increase in test is irrelevant now, it is too late! The virus is now communal, it has moved out of the traceable segment of the pandemic.

The US didn't just miss the boat on early testing...when you got to the dock, the testing boat had already sailed over the horizon....

You say you have a science degree?

Well you have a mingling population, with a virus that is extremely contagious. The virus also has no vaccine, or drug treatment. Humans have zero immunity. It is fatal in 3 % ( debatable number, agreed) of the population. Due to the 10-30 day stay in hospital, for a seriously infect person, and that hospitals will be over run with seriously ill people needing ICU beds, what should we be doing about it, to prevent the unabated circulation of the virus through the population?

Hmmmm?

Infected 18,769....and climbing

Read the news. 50 governors are taking the appropriate actions, instructing their citizens to hunker down, military medical reserves are being deployed, testing sites are popping up everywhere, schools are closed, beaches and bars are closed, restaurants limited to take out, no more than 10 people in a group, national guard units deployed to assist with logistics, manufacturing Co's are retooling to mass produce PPE and ventilators, pharmaceutical Co's are at it 24/7 to find a remedy, two massive hospital ships are under way, the use of cruise ships, army MASH units and the use of hotels to house patients. Hospitals are erecting triage units outside their emergency rooms. And then there is a massive stimulus pkg working its way through congress. Just some of the initiatives. We, as a nation are very aware of the importance of action and what's on the horizon and people are responding, doing what they're told!!!!

 

[LibsKnowSoMuch]

^^ all that for a mortality rate of 1.3% and dropping.

But, but, but so few people tested...

Remember, the more tested, the higher the denominator AND, the majority of initial tests will only be given to those suspected of having the virus.