For Those Who Might Be Wondering Why We Might Be In Ukraine

[ChloeTzang]

 

[ChloeTzang]

More than 30 people survived an Azerbaijan Airlines plane crash in Kazakhstan. The aircraft was carrying 62 passengers and five crew was en route from Baku to Grozny in Chechnya. The passenger plane operated by Azerbaijan Airlines burst into flames as it crashed near the city of Aktau in Kazakhstan after veering hundreds of miles off its planned route. The flight was carrying 62 passengers and five crew members, the airline said on Wednesday, suggesting that 30 people had died in the crash. Kazakh authorities said that at least 29 of the survivors, a tally that is believed to include two children, were being treated in a nearby hospital. Azerbaijan’s foreign ministry said in a statement that some were in critical condition. The plane was en route from Azerbaijan’s capital, Baku, to the Russian city of Grozny in Chechnya. A preliminary assessment suggested that both pilots had died in the crash, Russian news agency Interfax reported.

There is increasing speculation in Russian media that the Baku-Grozny flight was shot down by Russian air defenses that mistook it for a Ukrainian drone. It was apparently hit while trying to land in Grozny. Data from Flightradar24 showed fluctuating altitude and speed before the emergency landing request. The holes seen in the fuselage apparently not from Birdstrike or stones. Azerbaijani Airlines Plane was hit approaching Grozny - pilots then diverted to Aktau where the damaged plane lost its hydraulics (from damage) and crashed…

Other reports that the crashed Azerbaijan Airlines plane was forced to divert to Aktau as an alternate airport while Ukrainian kamikaze UAVs were targeting Grozny, Chechnya earlier today. Not going to pretend I know anything about this but I read a comment saying the kind of oscillation you see in the longer video clips of this is consistent with trying to steer using engine thrust after a hydraulic failure - as the nose drops it gains speed causing it to pitch up, then as it slows it pitches down.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...-azerbaijan-airlines-baku-grozny-fog-chechnya

https://twitter.com/x/status/1871835159852687549

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[ChloeTzang]

Palianytsia, Ruta, Peklo — In 2024, Ukraine commenced mass production of rocket drones capable of reaching significant distances into russia to strike military targets there. In 2025, more than 30,000 Deep Strike drones will be delivered for the Ukrainian military for use against Russian targets.

 

[ChloeTzang]

Russian air defense most likely caused the crash of an Embraer 190 passenger plane during a Ukrainian UAV attack on Grozny, in Chechnya:

The Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer 190 passenger plane had 67 passengers and 5 crew members on board - 72 people in total. 32 people survived the crash. 40 died, including the pilot and co-pilot. All survivors were in the tail section of the plane. The plane took off from Baku at 6:50 Moscow time and was scheduled to land in Grozny at 8:20. But just before landing in Grozny, the plane aborted, turned around and flew across the Caspian Sea towards Kazakhstan. Where it crashed. As the plane was approaching Grozny, an air raid alert was issued in the region due to a kamikaze drone attack. Russian air defense was actively engaged.

The tail section of the plane survived the crash and witnesses were able to capture on video considerable damage on the tail that is consistent with a hit from air defense missiles. Some passengers have already managed to give short testimonies and comment on what happened. Thus, Zaur Mamedov, one of the survivors of the plane crash, says: “For the third time, something exploded. There was an explosion - I wouldn’t say that it was inside the plane. Where I was sitting, the lining next to me flew off.” He added that he reached for his life jacket, and there was a hole in it: “I took the jacket, and I look: there was a hole in the jacket - a piece of shrapnel had pierced it. After this explosion, right between my legs - somewhere there - this piece of shrapnel flew in and hit me. It pierced the jacket right through.”

Following the crash of its plane, Azerbaijan Airlines cancelled all Baku-Grozny-Baku and Baku-Makhachkala-Baku flights. Even channels of many Russian propagandists do not hide that they are inclined to believe that plane was damaged by Russian air defences. For example one of the Russian telegram channels associated with the Russian military aviation writes the following: “Based on this video, it can be said that this explosion is not from inside of the plane. Does this look like an SAM system explosion? I can definitely answer - yes. This is exactly what the skin of the aircraft looks like after a SAM missile explosion….“



LOL. This, incidentally, is why, when I fly, I always get a seat right at the back of the plane. The stats on aircraft crash survivors are almost all skewed towards that rear third of the aircraft. Hits last, no fuel tanks, breaks off.....Business Class passengers sit up front and die first.

 

[ChloeTzang]

One wonders when the Baltic countries will have had enough and decide to put a stop to this.

 

[ChloeTzang]

And here we go....Russia reportedly attempted to make the Azerbaijan Airlines plane crash in to the sea by refusing permission to let it land after hitting it with a SAM missile attack and then jamming its navigation system. The missile was fired at Flight 8432 amid drone air activity above Grozny, the Chechen capital, citing a preliminary investigation. The pilot was blocked from landing at any Russian airports despite making emergency pleas, and was instead ordered to divert into Kazakhstan. The Azeri Times confirmed that the Azerbaijan Airlines plane was denied emergency landings by Russia at three nearby airports, despite its critical condition. The news outlet also stated that the plane was subjected to 'extreme GPS jamming' which forced its hero pilot, Aleksandr Kalyaninov, to divert the flight over the Caspian Sea, where it eventually attempyted to land in Aktau, Kazakhstan. Local media cited government sources in suggesting jammers 'paralysed' the plane's communication systems'.

Government sources said previously the plane was hit by a missile fired from a Pantsir-S air defence system from the Naursky district of Chechnya. Kazakhstan has said it would be carrying out an investigation into the crash, suggesting it would cooperate with Azerbaijan but not Russia. Azerbaijan is understood to be conducting its own investigation.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...n-force-hero-pilot-water-crash-killed-38.html

 

[ll74]

And here we go....Russia reportedly attempted to make the Azerbaijan Airlines plane crash in to the sea by refusing permission to let it land after hitting it with a SAM missile attack and then jamming its navigation system. The missile was fired at Flight 8432 amid drone air activity above Grozny, the Chechen capital, citing a preliminary investigation. The pilot was blocked from landing at any Russian airports despite making emergency pleas, and was instead ordered to divert into Kazakhstan. The Azeri Times confirmed that the Azerbaijan Airlines plane was denied emergency landings by Russia at three nearby airports, despite its critical condition. The news outlet also stated that the plane was subjected to 'extreme GPS jamming' which forced its hero pilot, Aleksandr Kalyaninov, to divert the flight over the Caspian Sea, where it eventually attempyted to land in Aktau, Kazakhstan. Local media cited government sources in suggesting jammers 'paralysed' the plane's communication systems'.

Government sources said previously the plane was hit by a missile fired from a Pantsir-S air defence system from the Naursky district of Chechnya. Kazakhstan has said it would be carrying out an investigation into the crash, suggesting it would cooperate with Azerbaijan but not Russia. Azerbaijan is understood to be conducting its own investigation.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...n-force-hero-pilot-water-crash-killed-38.html

View attachment 2453405

The real watch out here - don't try to fly to Russia.

 

[ChloeTzang]

The real watch out here - don't try to fly to Russia.

Absolutely. Trigger happy and poorly trained. I'm surprised they were still flying in to Grozny to be honest. It's been hit before. Moscow has to be pretty dicey to fly into these days as well. If I was the ZSU, all those Moscow air terminals would be on my hit list.

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[ChloeTzang]

They almost got it down too......that was some good flying under the circumstances

https://twitter.com/x/status/1871984507186020825

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[ChloeTzang]

 

[Nay_Nay01]

https://www.boredpanda.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/ukraine-support-memes-621dfba52ef58__700.jpg

 

[colddiesel]

The Nightingale is the National bird of the Ukraine. In local folklore it is said to bring happiness to the people when it returns from Africa to sing in the Spring. It will have to sing its heart out in the next few months

 

[Rotadom]

Daddy spanks baby boy trump.

Russia rejects Trump team's reported peace deal proposals on Ukraine, FM Lavrov says

Russia is dissatisfied with the reported peace deal proposals on Ukraine from U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s team, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on Dec. 29, according to state-owned TASS.

Earlier reports from the Wall Street Journal indicated that Trump’s team is considering a plan to delay Ukraine’s NATO membership by at least 20 years in exchange for continued Western arms supplies and the deployment of European peacekeepers to monitor a ceasefire.

Lavrov said the proposal, as outlined in leaks and Trump’s Dec. 12 Time interview, suggests "freezing hostilities along the current line of contact and transferring the responsibility of confronting Russia to Europe."

"We are certainly not satisfied with the proposals sounding on behalf of representatives of the president-elect's team," Lavrov said, specifically rejecting the idea of introducing European peacekeepers in Ukraine.

 

[dmallord]

So much for a campaign promise to end the war on day one.

 

[Lazaran]

Oops.

This article is a very good read:

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davida...sk-ukraines-himars-rockets-meet-them-halfway/



From the article:

Anticipating a sharp reduction in aid under Trump, the outgoing Biden administration is rushing billions of dollars in assistance to Ukraine in its final few weeks. An aid package the White House announced on Tuesday includes a whopping $2.5 billion worth of equipment and ammunition, including “thousands” of rockets for Ukraine’s HIMARS launchers.

THANK YOU PRESIDENT BIDEN!!!





Slava Ukraini!!!





(Side note: DonOld is a traitor.)

 

[ChloeTzang]

From the article:

Anticipating a sharp reduction in aid under Trump, the outgoing Biden administration is rushing billions of dollars in assistance to Ukraine in its final few weeks. An aid package the White House announced on Tuesday includes a whopping $2.5 billion worth of equipment and ammunition, including “thousands” of rockets for Ukraine’s HIMARS launchers.

THANK YOU PRESIDENT BIDEN!!!

LOL. Proving yet again that that the Biden Administration has been screwing Ukraine over and slow walking aid for the last 3 years. This is all aid that should have been provided over the last two years where it would have been REALLY useful. As it is, it simply proves that the Biden Administration was simply keeping Ukraine on a tight leash by restricting their supply of key ammunition in particular, all in a useless attempt to provide Putin with an off-ramp he will never take. Also proves the whole ammo shortage was engineered by Biden, and was completely needless, but nevertheless resulted in key positions being lost and thousands of Ukrainian soldiers dyeing to help Democratic Party political posturing. Revolting and sickening political malarkey from the traitorous Biden Administration who, thank god, will soon be gone.

All this last minute flood of dollars is NOT to help Ukraine - if that was the intention it would have been spread over the last two years - Biden has ALWAYS had this funding available and could have done this on an ongoing basis, when it would have seriously helped Ukraine. If Harris had been elected (puke), this funding would have simply expired, unused. The only reason it's happening now is the traitors illegitimately and traitorously running the USA in Biden's name are trying to screw Trump over before the handover.

Now, my guess is, Trump will simply say nothing and this aid will all go through with no moves to cancel anything after Jan 20th - it simply helps Trump, who has no intention of walking away and abandoning Ukraine, and allows him to keep the anti-Ukraine aid patriots happy - because Biden can carry the can for all this spending, Which WILL help Ukraine.

In the meantime, he can position the negotiations with Putin, which WILL fail because Putin's demands are NOT ones that the USA could ever accept, as having failed due to Russian intransigence, which they will because they are, and Trump can then do exactly what he said he would do, and flood Ukraine with more weapons - a few hundred Bradleys and more F16's would go a LONG way to changing the balance quickly. More Abrams would be nice, but it's good IFV's and equipment for the existing Brigades that don't have it, along with HIMARS, air defence, and artillery ammo that Ukraine needs badly. BUT to keep a lot of the base happy, Russia needs to be seen as turning down perfectly reasonable agreements first - and Putin can be guaranteed to do that, this allowing Trump to position himself as, "well, I tried, but that Putin, well...."

Trump can then open the floodgates and supply the weapons the Biden Administration has failed to deliver the the last three years. Cheaply. Because he can sell them to Ukraine at book value via land-lease. No loan. Ukraine will pay. But they will not pay the inflated "replacement cost" meaning they can afford to take the loans.....

Realpolitik by everyone - Biden, Trump, Ukraine.

 

[ChloeTzang]

Of course they will reject them. Putin can hardly afford to accept them. Not after almost a million casualties. The war will continue. Russia is on it's next to last legs. Their armor is almost gone. Ukraine now has more effective artillery and more accurate. Drone production is stepping up exponentially. The drone wars are only beginning. A Ukrainian sea drone just shot done a Russian helicopter off the Crimean coast - Russia has already lost the naval war. They are on the verge of losing the air war.

Once the Russian glide-bomb threat is reduced, Russia will have lost the air war....and Russian manpower is running down. They are close to being unable to keep running the human wave tactics that have kept them in the war for the last year. European support is building - Lynx and Fuchs IFV's will be rolling off the production lines, and god knows what else will be delivered. 2025 is the year this war will turn in Ukraine's favor and Ukraine will be able to take the initiative.

Russia will reject two reported Trump proposals to end war in Ukraine, says Kremlin​

Ukraine's GUR Successfully Destroys Aerial Target with Magura V5 Naval Drone.​

On December 31, 2024, the Ukrainian Defense Intelligence special unit “Group 13” achieved an unprecedented military feat by destroying an aerial target using the Magura V5 naval drone. This marks the first instance in history where a naval drone, armed with missile weaponry, has been employed to neutralize an airborne threat.
The R-73 missile, in its "Sea Dragon" adaptation for naval platforms, represents a significant leap in weapon system versatility. Originally developed as a short-range, air-to-air missile with infrared homing capabilities, its thrust-vectoring nozzles and wide-angle seeker have been repurposed to engage aerial targets from a surface platform. This adaptation involved reengineering launch mechanisms and fire control systems to ensure compatibility with the Magura V5’s autonomous operational profile. The missile’s infrared guidance allows it to effectively track heat-emitting targets, even under high-mobility conditions, making it especially lethal against rotary-wing aircraft such as the Mi-8.

During the operation near Cape Tarkhankut, Crimea, the Magura V5’s advanced detection and targeting systems identified the Russian Mi-8 helicopters. Likely utilizing a combination of radar and electro-optical/infrared sensors, the drone locked onto the targets before launching the R-73 missile. One helicopter was destroyed in mid-flight, while a second sustained critical damage but managed to retreat to its base. The precision of this engagement highlights the effectiveness of integrating sophisticated missile systems with unmanned platforms.

 

[ChloeTzang]

That Crimean attack is significant btw - Ukraine has been interdicting Russian sea supply to Crimea - part of the preparation for retaking Southern Kherson and the Crimea. Logistical supply for Russian units in Kherson and in Crimea has been choked off and is now a trickle - sea supply routes have been successfully cut - almost all the ships the Russians have been using have been attacked and sunk and the Russian defences are being whittled away - this latest helicopter shoot down is one more illustration of this. The Kerch bridge has been reduced to limited road traffic, the sea links have been sunk, and the rail route by land has been continually sabotaged. The biggest obstacle to any Ukrainian attack has been the Dnipro - and the Ukrainians have bridging units capable of crossing the Dnipro. This is going to be interesting once the ZSU starts to move - because if Crimea is retaken, Putin is done - and with the Russian Army tied up in Kursk and the Donbas, there are no reserves to count a Ukrainian crossing of the Dnipro.

This is one of the moves you can see coming - where the strategic initiative is passing to Ukraine and Russia is responding, rather than vice versa. Kursk is only the first example of this.

Russian naval supply routes in Crimea virtually destroyed – Ukrainian Navy

More logistical interdiction

Wagons of train supplying logistics to Russian forces destroyed in Moscow region – Ukraine’s intel​

Russia has no more modern tanks left......

And the economic hits on Russia continue....

Drones strike last operational oil refinery in Russia’s Rostov Oblast​

Ukraine’s General Staff confirmed military and security services conducted an overnight strike on Russia’s only operating oil refinery in Rostov Oblast.

Two transformers destroyed in drone attack on oil pumping station in Russia’s Bryansk Oblast​

Two transformers were destroyed in a drone attack on an oil pumping station in Russia’s Bryansk oblast, Russian news Telegram channel Astra reported on 27 December.