Interesting public debt numbers on Page 17 of the Financial Report of the U.S. Government for Fiscal Year 2012, published by the Treasury Department...
...the numbers take into consideration 3 things:
1. They represent only publicly-held debt, not debt the government owes itself in the form of Social Security, Medicare, and other intra-governmental loans (including that debt, the full national debt reached a 100+% debt-to-GDP ratio for fiscal year 2012);
2. The numbers assume the Affordable Care Act will lower health care costs, not increase them;
3. The numbers also assume sequestration goes into effect.
When you add-in those 3 considerations, your mind can imagine how conservative the following numbers truly are:
- At the end of the 2012 fiscal year, public debt was 73% of GDP
- Public debt is expected to be 78% of GDP by 2022
- It will rise to 145% of GDP in 2042
- By 2087, public debt will be 395% of GDP
...the numbers take into consideration 3 things:
1. They represent only publicly-held debt, not debt the government owes itself in the form of Social Security, Medicare, and other intra-governmental loans (including that debt, the full national debt reached a 100+% debt-to-GDP ratio for fiscal year 2012);
2. The numbers assume the Affordable Care Act will lower health care costs, not increase them;
3. The numbers also assume sequestration goes into effect.
When you add-in those 3 considerations, your mind can imagine how conservative the following numbers truly are:
- At the end of the 2012 fiscal year, public debt was 73% of GDP
- Public debt is expected to be 78% of GDP by 2022
- It will rise to 145% of GDP in 2042
- By 2087, public debt will be 395% of GDP