Dumpington
Literotica Guru
- Joined
- Aug 3, 2001
- Posts
- 2,891
Way back in 1984, President Ronald Reagan won 525 electoral votes, breaking the previous record of 520 electoral votes won by Richard Nixon in 1972! The best showing by a Democratic presidential candidate in that same time-period was Bill Clinton's winning 379 in '96. In all three of the above cases, it was an incumbent president running for re-election, just like Donald Trump will be in 2020.
The Democratic Party is FURIOUS right now with the Electoral College, and many in that party are outspoken about getting rid of it and replacing it with the popular vote ONLY deciding presidential races! The problem with this is that to make that change, they'd have to change the entire U.S. Constitution, and they simply don't have the political muscle to make that happen (and if they ever DID, they'd no longer be worrying about the Electoral College!)
Knowing this, those Democrats in certain blue-states are adopting what they're calling the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, with several liberal states already promising to give their electoral votes to whatever candidate wins the popular vote. If ALL states had agreed to this before November of 2000, for example, Al Gore would have been elected president instead of George W. Bush! And if this compact had been approved nationwide before November of 2016, Hillary Clinton would be the president instead of Donald Trump!
The PROBLEM with this approach, at least for Democrats, is that their candidates tend to do WORSE at re-election time than do Republican presidents! For example, when George W. Bush ran for re-election in 2004, he won 15 more electoral votes along with 11,577,160 MORE popular votes than he'd carried four years earlier! Compare that with Barack Obama, who was re-elected in 2012 with 33 fewer electoral votes along with 3,580,921 FEWER popular votes nationwide!
I'm going to go out on a limb here and project Donald Trump as doing considerably BETTER the second time around (as Bush did). Let's say he finishes in 2020 winning the exact same states that he carried in 2016, along with a majority of the popular vote, as well. That's 304 electoral votes right there, 34 more than are necessary to be elected president!
Now, the blue state of Colorado has just voted to go along with this National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, which means that Colorado's nine electoral votes would now go to Trump, even if that state's voters preferred Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Corey Booker, or Bernie Sanders, etc. etc. etc. Trump's total now jumps to 312!
But, wait a minute, eleven OTHER states have ALSO signed-on to award their electoral votes to the popular vote winner, and ALL eleven of them went to Hillary in 2016! Which means that Trump would ALSO get California's 55 electoral votes, Hawaii's 4, Washington state's 12, Illinois's 20, New York state's 29, New Jersey's 14, Maryland's 10, Massachusetts' 11, Vermont's 3, Connecticut's 7, Rhode Island's 4, and the District of Columbia's 3.
And just like that, Trump's electoral vote total soars to 484! Now if Oregon, Minnesota, Nevada, Virginia, New Hampshire, & Maine ALSO all pass this National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, Trump stands to break Ronald Reagan's all-time electoral vote record without even winning any additional states the second time around!
The Democratic Party is FURIOUS right now with the Electoral College, and many in that party are outspoken about getting rid of it and replacing it with the popular vote ONLY deciding presidential races! The problem with this is that to make that change, they'd have to change the entire U.S. Constitution, and they simply don't have the political muscle to make that happen (and if they ever DID, they'd no longer be worrying about the Electoral College!)
Knowing this, those Democrats in certain blue-states are adopting what they're calling the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, with several liberal states already promising to give their electoral votes to whatever candidate wins the popular vote. If ALL states had agreed to this before November of 2000, for example, Al Gore would have been elected president instead of George W. Bush! And if this compact had been approved nationwide before November of 2016, Hillary Clinton would be the president instead of Donald Trump!
The PROBLEM with this approach, at least for Democrats, is that their candidates tend to do WORSE at re-election time than do Republican presidents! For example, when George W. Bush ran for re-election in 2004, he won 15 more electoral votes along with 11,577,160 MORE popular votes than he'd carried four years earlier! Compare that with Barack Obama, who was re-elected in 2012 with 33 fewer electoral votes along with 3,580,921 FEWER popular votes nationwide!
I'm going to go out on a limb here and project Donald Trump as doing considerably BETTER the second time around (as Bush did). Let's say he finishes in 2020 winning the exact same states that he carried in 2016, along with a majority of the popular vote, as well. That's 304 electoral votes right there, 34 more than are necessary to be elected president!
Now, the blue state of Colorado has just voted to go along with this National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, which means that Colorado's nine electoral votes would now go to Trump, even if that state's voters preferred Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Corey Booker, or Bernie Sanders, etc. etc. etc. Trump's total now jumps to 312!
But, wait a minute, eleven OTHER states have ALSO signed-on to award their electoral votes to the popular vote winner, and ALL eleven of them went to Hillary in 2016! Which means that Trump would ALSO get California's 55 electoral votes, Hawaii's 4, Washington state's 12, Illinois's 20, New York state's 29, New Jersey's 14, Maryland's 10, Massachusetts' 11, Vermont's 3, Connecticut's 7, Rhode Island's 4, and the District of Columbia's 3.
And just like that, Trump's electoral vote total soars to 484! Now if Oregon, Minnesota, Nevada, Virginia, New Hampshire, & Maine ALSO all pass this National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, Trump stands to break Ronald Reagan's all-time electoral vote record without even winning any additional states the second time around!